Match preview and context
The Eerste Divisie visits the SolarUnie Stadion on 06/02/2026 as Helmond Sport host FC Den Bosch in Round 26. Helmond Sport sit precariously in 18th place after 25 games, with 7 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats, while FC Den Bosch occupy a more comfortable mid-table 10th spot with 10 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses. Recent form tells a compelling story: Helmond arrive wounded from a heavy 3-0 reverse at FC Dordrecht and three defeats in their last five, whereas Den Bosch have been more mixed — a 1-1 draw with Emmen most recently and a patchwork of draws and wins in recent weeks. The teams met in October at De Vliert, where Den Bosch edged a 1-0 victory, and that narrow H2H outcome will linger in both camps.
Tactical outlook and what the numbers say
Statistically this should be an open affair. Helmond have shipped 45 goals this season and managed 31 for, while Den Bosch have been involved in high-scoring contests too — 45 goals for, 46 conceded between home and away splits that highlight defensive vulnerability. Both sides show a pronounced tendency toward over 2.5 goals: Helmond’s matches have gone over 2.5 on 68% of occasions and Den Bosch on 72%. Both Teams To Score is a frequent outcome as well — Helmond’s home fixtures have seen BTTS in two-thirds of games, and Den Bosch’s away numbers show BTTS in half of their matches. The underlying shot data points to attacking intent from both sides: Den Bosch averages more total shots and dangerous attacks, but Helmond still produce chances at home and have recorded five clean sheets, so anything can happen inside a lively SolarUnie Stadion with its 4,100 capacity.
Bookmakers reflect a balanced contest on the 1X2 market: both sides are priced at 2.55 with the draw at 3.60, suggesting the market sees this as an evenly poised encounter. Given recent form and Den Bosch’s slight overall superiority in the table, a narrow away edge exists, but the statistical signal is louder for goals than for a single definitive winner.
Key recent performers
Helmond’s recent best-rated performance came from Dayen Geerts in their previous match despite the defeat, while FC Den Bosch’s draw with Emmen highlighted Thijs van Leeuwen as their standout performer. These individual flashes matter in tight Eerste Divisie affairs where moments of quality decide outcomes.
Before committing to a goal-based play, consider timing and match flow — understanding fluctuations in scoring patterns can be crucial; read up on The right time to place bets on goal markets. And when managing your stake across volatile games like this, it helps to be aware of bankroll risks — see The risks of trying a bankroll leveraging in a quick way.
Betting suggestion
Given both teams’ defensive records, the high over 2.5 rates and the balanced 1X2 market, the clearest value lies in the goals market. Back Over 2.5 goals — probability skews toward multiple-goal action here, and the underlying numbers support a match where both sides are likely to contribute to the scoreline.
