Prediction Honduras vs Costa Rica 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Concacaf on 09/10/2025

Match Preview: Final Round drama in San Pedro Sula

The Final Round of CONCACAF World Cup qualification brings a classic Central American rivalry to Estadio Francisco Morazán on 09/10/2025, where Honduras will host Costa Rica in a match that promises drama and attacking football. Honduras arrive sitting top of the early table after two matches, boasting four points and a spotless defensive record in the group: two goals scored, none conceded. The hosts have been sturdy in recent outings, turning in a run that reads W-D-L-W-W-L-W-W-W-W and producing seven wins from their last ten fixtures. That form is backed by club-like attacking numbers at home — an average of over 21 shots per game, a terrifying 10 corners on average and a high rate of dangerous attacks, all suggesting Honduras press the advantage when they have the ball.

Costa Rica, by contrast, have been nearly impossible to beat over an extended run: their last ten results feature six wins and four draws, an unbeaten streak that gives them real confidence heading into hostile territory. The visitors are not shy of goals either — their recent group turmoil included a 3-3 draw with Haiti where they surrendered a 2-0 half-time lead, showing both attacking potency and occasional defensive vulnerability. Across recent matches Costa Rica have recorded a high frequency of games clearing the 2.5-goal mark, and their attacking metrics underline a team that creates plenty of opportunities irrespective of venue.

Tactical overview: solidity versus open football

Honduras’ data emphasizes structure and efficiency. Clean sheets and a low goals-against tally at home indicate a team that is compact and effective defending in their own stadium. Their match against Nicaragua ended 2-0, while prior encounters showed resilience, including a narrow loss to Mexico and penalty drama against Panama. Romell Quioto’s presence as the best-rated performer in the most recent win highlights Honduras’ capacity to produce moments of quality in the final third.

Costa Rica counterbalance that with unpredictability. Their most recent draw involved a dramatic second half and showcased Kenneth Vargas as a standout figure. Statistically, Costa Rica’s fixtures more frequently slide past the 2.5-goal benchmark and their matches tend to be more open — an approach that can punish teams that sit too deep.

Prediction & Betting Tip

This fixture has all the ingredients for an open game. Honduras will want to protect its lead at the top and rely on a structured home approach, but Costa Rica’s unbeaten, free-scoring form suggests they will probe relentlessly and create chances. Historical head-to-heads and recent scorelines point toward multiple goals rather than a cagey 0-0.

Betting suggestion: back the goal market — Over 2.5 goals. The combination of Honduras’ attacking productivity at home and Costa Rica’s high frequency of high-scoring matches makes Over 2.5 the most compelling single-market play from the available options. Play responsibly and consider a conservative stake given the unpredictable swings both teams have shown this campaign.