Prediction Honduras vs Nicaragua 2026 season – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Concacaf on 10/09/2025

Match context and early impressions

Tegucigalpa will stage a tight, atmospheric encounter when Honduras welcome Nicaragua for round two of the CONCACAF World Cup qualifying final round. The venue, Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino, holds 30,000 and Honduras arrive with clear home metrics that suggest they carry the momentum — dominant shot volumes, dangerous attacking averages and a string of recent positive results. Nicaragua, for their part, have shown flashes of resilience with a 1-1 draw against Costa Rica in their most recent outing, but their numbers on the road hint at an uphill task against a side that presses higher and sustains more chances.

Form, recent results and tactical clues

Honduras’ recent sequence reads like a team finding consistency: six wins, one draw and three defeats in their last ten matches, and a shutout in the most recent fixture against Haiti that stopped momentum for the visitors but underlined defensive solidity. The home data is striking — average shots per game north of 24, an attack average listed at 115 with dangerous attacks at 82.2, and double-digit corners average. Those indicators point to a side that controls possession in the final third and generates repeated pressure.

Nicaragua’s form is patchier: three wins, three draws and four defeats across their last ten, with a 1-1 draw versus Costa Rica exposing a team that can grind out results but often struggles to dominate on the road. Their attacking output away from home is more modest; shots average around 15.8 and corners average under four per match, suggesting they are less likely to sustain offensive pressure in hostile territory. They can score — recent away numbers show some goals — but turning that into consistent threats against a Honduras backline that has registered multiple clean sheets at home will be the challenge.

Key match dynamics to watch

This contest will likely revolve around Honduras’ ability to convert their significant shot volume into meaningful chances and whether Nicaragua can stay compact and punish the counter. The historical head-to-head shown here is slim — a 1-1 friendly draw back in 2020 — but the present statistical gap favors the hosts. Goal involvement for each side has been mixed, and with Honduras showing both attacking firepower and defensive discipline at home, they hold the balance of probability.

Betting suggestion: Based on the available match data and team trends, the most compelling single-market pick is a 1X2 selection: back Honduras to win. The hosts’ superior attacking metrics at home, higher dangerous-attack numbers and recent run of form make them the likeliest side to secure three points in Tegucigalpa.