Prediction Imbabura vs Cumbaya 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro Serie B on 11/09/2025

Match context and form guide

The relegation round clash at Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra promises tension more than spectacle when Imbabura host Cumbaya on 11/09/2025. Both teams arrive under pressure: Imbabura sit fourth in the group with three points from two matches, while Cumbaya are down in sixth with just a single point. Recent results have left little margin for error—Imbabura suffered a heavy 0-3 reverse to Vinotinto just days ago, while Cumbaya were beaten 4-1 by Chacaritas. Those scorelines expose defensive fragility and set the stage for a game where mistakes will be punished.

Imbabura’s home numbers tell a story of a side that can produce chances. They average 94.5 attacks per match and fire roughly 15 shots, translating into 14 goals at home this season. That attacking output is matched by vulnerability, though: conceding 11 at this venue shows they are not immune to pressure, and their recent form string is patchy—wins interspersed with losses and only a single draw in the latest ten results. Their most recent standout on the day was Danny Burbano, who earned a 7.5 rating in the last outing despite the team’s defeat.

Cumbaya arrive with fewer cutting edge. Their shots average sits near 10 per match and dangerous attacks average under 50, figures that lag behind Imbabura’s output. Away from home their goals scored and conceded numbers (8 for, 20 against overall away) point to an uphill task; while they have shown they can grind results—seven clean sheets on the season is notable—their recent form included heavy defeats and only one draw from their relegation fixtures. The June head-to-head adds context: Cumbaya edged Imbabura 1-0 earlier in the year, proving they can frustrate the hosts when organised.

Tactical match-up and likely tempo

Expect a match contested in midfield with Imbabura attempting to press and create more opportunities, while Cumbaya will look to stay compact and hit on the break. Imbabura’s edge in attacking volume and higher dangerous-attacks average suggests they will carry the initiative; Cumbaya’s lower shot numbers and tendency to concede in clusters means they could be vulnerable to sustained pressure. Given both sides conceded freely in recent games, the match may open up, but historical and statistical cues point to Imbabura being the more likely to control territory and test the Cumbaya defence repeatedly.

Final verdict: Imbabura should be marginal favourites at home, with the balance of this relegation mini-league and attacking metrics favouring them to grind out a positive result.

Betting suggestion: Back Imbabura to win (1) — confidence: medium.