Prediction Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga De Futbol Prof on 20/08/2025

Match context: two struggling sides meet in Sucre

Independiente Petrolero welcome Wilstermann to Estadio Olímpico Patria on 20/08/2025 in a clash that carries more desperation than glamour. Both teams sit uncomfortably close to the foot of the Liga De Futbol Prof table, but there is a clear home advantage for Independiente Petrolero: they occupy 14th with 12 points from 15 games, while Wilstermann are anchored 15th with a meagre six points from 16 outings. The recent trajectories underline the story — Independiente arrive after a 2-1 reverse to Gualberto Villarroel SJ but still showed enough competitive teeth across a run that included draws and a solitary win, whereas Wilstermann head into Sucre reeling from a 3-0 loss to San Antonio Bulo Bulo and an alarming run with no wins in their last ten.

Tactical and statistical flavour of the fixture

This promises to be a gritty encounter rather than a free-scoring spectacle. Independiente have netted 19 goals while conceding 33, with only two clean sheets all season; Wilstermann’s numbers are bleaker — 11 scored and 36 conceded and a solitary shutout. Shot data shows both teams are active without being clinical: Wilstermann have edged marginally more total attempts and shots on target across the campaign, but the reality is that both sides concede chances frequently. Head-to-head adds a small psychological edge to Independiente — they claimed a 1-0 victory when these sides met earlier in the season, and playing at home in Sucre (a 32,000-capacity venue) gives them the platform to press for three points.

Form, odds and likely match rhythm point in the same direction. The market reflects Independiente as favourites (odds 1.70, implied probability 58.82%), with the draw priced at 3.75 and Wilstermann as long shots at 4.33. Both teams show about a 50/50 split on both-teams-to-score and over-2.5 tendencies, so while goals can arrive from either side, it is conceding that has been the bigger problem for Wilstermann.

Betting suggestion

Best bet — 1X2 market: Back Independiente Petrolero to win (odds 1.70). The combination of home advantage, marginally stronger form, a previous head-to-head victory, and Wilstermann’s persistent winless run makes the home victory the most probable single-market outcome.