Prediction Israel vs Italy 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 08/09/2025

Setting the scene in Debrecen

A late-summer showdown at Nagyerdei Stadion promises to be one of the keener fixtures in Group Stage action on 08/09/2025, when Israel host Italy in WC Qualification Europe. The Hungarian venue—capacity 20,340—will stage a tactical and attacking tug-of-war. Israel arrive high on confidence after a thumping 4-0 win over Moldova, a result that underlined their ability to turn chances into goals, while Italy cruised to a 5-0 victory over Estonia in their most recent outing. Both sides showed attacking verve in their last outings and the scoreboard consequences are impossible to ignore.

Form and recent body of work

Israel sit second in the group with nine points from four matches, having won three and lost one, and they have struck 11 goals while shipping six. Their recent run includes multiple wins and a healthy attacking return: the report shows Israel delivered 4-0 in Moldova with Manor Solomon singled out as the best player (rating 8.54). Israel’s team statistics also back up an offensive mindset — four matches in this dataset all produced over 2.5 goals, giving them a 100% over-2.5 record. They average notable attacking output and a strong shots profile, with 71 total shots and 33 on target across the sample.

Italy come into Debrecen third in the group on six points from three matches, but they are no slouches offensively: seven goals scored and three conceded in the group, and a recent 5-0 demolition of Estonia where Mateo Retegui earned a match-high 9.28 rating. The Italian side shows heavy attacking numbers — 74 total shots, a higher attacks average and dangerous attacks figure — and two clean sheets in the period captured by the stats. Italy have the firepower to punish any defensive lapses.

How this one is likely to play out

The data paints the picture of two teams that are capable of producing goals when given space. Israel’s domestic stats show a tendency toward high-scoring affairs at home, and Italy’s offensive metrics underline their capacity to convert sustained pressure into goals. While Italy have recorded clean sheets, their recent matches include both big wins and a heavy loss, suggesting volatility that a dynamic Israel side can exploit. Previous head-to-head history included a 4-1 Italy victory in the Nations League — a reminder this fixture can be open and productive.

Betting suggestion

Based on the attacking trends and the heavy over-2.5 history for Israel combined with Italy’s recent goal-rich results, the best market here is the goals market. Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals. The statistical evidence of frequent high-scoring games from both sides and the recent multi-goal wins make this the clearest play from the available markets.