Prediction Italy vs Norway 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 16/11/2025

Preview: San Siro set for a northern onslaught

Italy returns to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with momentum from a 2-0 victory over Moldova on November 13, but the numbers paint a compelling picture that this clash against Norway will be anything but routine for the Azzurri. Playing at home, Italy’s profile in the group is impressive on paper — six wins from seven matches, 20 goals scored and a place in second — yet there are warning signs. The team has been prolific going forward across the campaign, but Norway arrive with a ruthlessness that has turned this qualifying group into their showcase: seven wins from seven, 33 goals scored and only four conceded.

Form, recent meetings and tactical implications

Recent fixtures underline Norway’s attacking firepower. The visitors demolished Estonia 4-1 in their most recent outing and routinely produce high-scoring performances in the group. The most recent head-to-head meeting this campaign also favours Norway, a 3-0 scoreline from June sending a clear message about how effective they can be against Italy when they click. Italy, by contrast, have been solid but not invulnerable — their group defensive record shows eight goals conceded overall, and while home numbers suggest a stingy streak, the balance of attacking intent from both sides points toward an open contest.

This match will hinge on tempo and control in midfield, but Norway’s clinical finishing and confidence on the road — evidenced by a strong away goals return — make them a formidable proposition even in front of a partisan Milan crowd. Italy’s recent best performer recognition, like Gianluca Mancini after the Moldova game, hints at defensive resilience, while Norway’s Julian Ryerson has been singled out for match-winning displays, a sign that the visitors possess individuals capable of tipping tight moments in their favour.

Match outlook and betting perspective

Expect an aggressive start from both teams: Italy will try to assert itself at home, but Norway’s relentless forward numbers suggest they will not sit back. Given Norway’s impeccable record in the group and the clear head-to-head advantage, this looks like a fixture where the away side can take full control. For readers weighing market choices and strategy, it’s worth revisiting principles from guides such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and timing your entry with insights on scoring trends found in The right time to place bets on goal markets.

Betting suggestion: Norway (Away) to win (1X2). Norway’s perfect group record, superior goal difference and the recent 3-0 head-to-head result make them the strongest single-market pick for this fixture.