Prediction Jong AZ vs Willem II 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025

Match preview: uphill task for Jong AZ at AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ return to the AFAS Trainingscomplex still hunting for consistency in a season that has so far been unkind. Sitting 18th after 11 matches, their record of two wins, two draws and seven defeats tells a blunt story: defensive fragility and a side that struggles to string results together. Recent outings underline the issues — a 4-2 reverse at Helmond Sport and a heavy 0-4 home loss to ADO Den Haag bookend a run in which goals have been easy to concede. Across the campaign they have shipped 23 goals, managing only 14 at the other end, and while there have been flashes — a 3-2 win at FC Den Bosch and a goalless stalemate with Jong FC Utrecht — the pattern is more one of setbacks than momentum.

Willem II arrive with momentum and a functional attack

By contrast, Willem II head into this fixture as the form side and comfortably placed in the top third of the table. Fifth position and a haul of 20 points from 11 matches is backed up by a string of wins: recent victories include a 3-2 triumph away at RKC Waalwijk and a sequence of positive results against solid opposition. They’ve found the net 15 times, and while their defensive numbers show occasional vulnerability — 15 conceded overall — the balance of results suggests more control and attack potency than their opponents. The standout performer last time out, Devin Haen, earned the match best rating after the win at RKC, further highlighting the away side’s capacity to deliver in tight spots.

Key trends and what to expect

Head-to-head memories add spice to the encounter: Willem II put four past Jong AZ in the last meeting between the sides, a result that will linger in the visitor’s confidence. Statistical trends hint at an open game; both teams have been involved in multiple matches clearing the over 2.5 threshold this season, and Jong AZ’s tendency to concede lends itself to a contest where chances will arise for the visitors. Willem II’s recent form — six wins, two draws from their last ten — reads far more convincing than the sporadic successes of Jong AZ, whose patchy form includes heavy defeats and narrow wins.

Final read and betting suggestion

Given the gulf in form, league position and recent performances, the sensible call is to back the away side to take three points. Willem II look better equipped to exploit the defensive gaps of Jong AZ and bring reliable attacking output to a ground where the hosts have been porous. Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Back Willem II to win (Away) at around 2.55.