Big goals expected as Jong PSV host De Graafschap in a top-table tussle
Eindhoven's Sportcomplex De Herdgang will stage a compelling clash on 13/02/2026 as Jong PSV welcome De Graafschap in Round 27 of the Eerste Divisie. The fixture pits two of the division’s most entertaining sides against one another: Jong PSV sit third with 43 points while De Graafschap are just behind in fourth with 42. Both teams arrive with recent form that suggests fans will see intent at both ends – and the numbers back up that expectation.
Jong PSV have been prolific across the season, racking up 54 goals in 26 matches, but they have also been vulnerable defensively, conceding 48. Their recent run is peppered with high-scoring affairs: four of their last five matches produced multiple goals and they sealed a 2-0 victory over TOP Oss in their most recent outing. De Graafschap, meanwhile, arrive on a confidence wave after a commanding 4-0 win over Jong Ajax. They have netted 49 this campaign and conceded 40, demonstrating a similar mix of attacking quality and defensive openness.
Form, patterns and what to expect
When examining shot and goal metrics, the fixture leans towards entertainment. Jong PSV average almost 15 shots per match and show a remarkable over-2.5 frequency at home, with an over25 percentage of 80.77% in home fixtures. De Graafschap are even more active overall with an average of 18 total shots per game and a healthy corners and attack profile. Historical context adds spice: the teams met earlier this season with De Graafschap edging a 3-2 win — a result that underlines the potential for another goal-laden encounter.
Discipline and clean sheets offer another angle. Jong PSV have kept five clean sheets, but their goals conceded tally suggests those shutouts are offset by several high-scoring defeats. De Graafschap’s three clean sheets show they can be compact, yet their recent four-goal display indicates attacking potency that can unlock most defenses. The referee for the match, Rick Sturm, will preside over a fixture where tactical openness is likely, not park-the-bus pragmatism.
For readers who want to sharpen their market choices, consider a deeper read on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets to match strategy with statistics. If you prefer to broaden your betting education beyond this match, the primer on what the handicap market means in sports betting is a useful companion when weighing alternatives.
Betting suggestion: Based on both teams’ attacking records, high over-2.5 rates (especially Jong PSV’s home over25 at 80.77%), recent high-scoring meetings, and a balanced market that slightly favors De Graafschap on the 1X2 lines, the strongest single-market play here is the goal market: back Over 2.5 goals. This selection captures the probability that both sides will contribute to an open, entertaining contest and fits the statistical profile shown across season and recent form.
