Match preview: momentum and context at Sportcomplex De Herdgang
Eindhoven will host a lively Eerste Divisie encounter on 01/12/2025 as Jong PSV welcome RKC Waalwijk to Sportcomplex De Herdgang. The fixture arrives in round 18 with the referee Clay Ruperti in charge, and the small but passionate crowd — capacity 4,000 — can expect an entertaining night. Jong PSV sit a little higher in the table in fourth with 28 points from 17 games, while RKC are close behind in sixth on 26 points; this promises to be a tight contest between two sides whose recent runs tell different stories.
Form lines and recent meetings
Jong PSV arrive off a 3-1 defeat to Vitesse and a mixed run of results that includes high-scoring draws and narrow wins. Their last five shows attacking promise — 34 goals so far this season — but defensive inconsistencies have cost them, conceding 30 overall. RKC Waalwijk, on the other hand, have steadied after a heavy 1-4 reverse earlier in November and picked up a confidence-boosting 1-0 win in their most recent outing. Statistically the away side edge the attacking metrics: slightly higher totals in shots and dangerous attacks, and a stronger recent form sequence with more wins in the last ten outings.
Tactically, expect RKC to press their advantage in transitions and exploit Jong PSV’s openness. Jong PSV have produced a number of entertaining, goal-laden games at home this season — their over 2.5 goal frequency is particularly high — which will be music to neutral eyes hoping for an end-to-end affair.
What the numbers say
Both teams generate chances: Jong PSV average over 94 attacks per game while RKC push beyond 100, and shots inside the box favour RKC. Clean sheets are rare for either team, three apiece, and the over 2.5 rate is elevated especially for Jong PSV’s fixtures. Bookmakers have priced RKC as the marginal favourite at 2.00, while a home win is sitting at 3.20 and the draw at 3.95 — a market reflecting a competitive match where the visitors hold a slight edge.
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Betting suggestion: Based on form, attacking metrics and the bookie pricing, the best single selection is RKC Waalwijk to win (Away) at 2.00. It reflects RKC’s recent momentum, superior attacking danger and Jong PSV’s defensive lapses at times. Play this with measured stakes and consider a smaller hedge on Over 2.5 goals if you prefer a goals market double-touch.