Prediction Jong PSV vs Willem II 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Eerste Divisie on 03/11/2025

Match context and stakes at De Herdgang

Eindhoven’s Sportcomplex De Herdgang will host a compact but intriguing clash as Jong PSV welcome Willem II on 03/11/2025. Both teams sit level on 21 points after 13 matches, a fact that underlines how tight the mid-table in the Eerste Divisie remains. The fixture carries extra spice because recent form diverges: Jong PSV arrives after mixed results and defensive wobbles, while Willem II come off a statement 7-0 win in the KNVB Beker that will have boosted confidence heading into the league. Referee Kevin Puts will preside over a contest likely watched closely by both sets of supporters inside the 2,500-capacity venue.

Form, momentum and what the numbers say

Jong PSV’s recent sequence contains draws and narrow defeats; a run showing three wins, three draws and four losses from their last ten. They have been productive in attack across the season with 25 goals but have conceded 21, exposing a vulnerability at the back. The underlying attacking metrics tell a story: 200 total shots and 75 on target point to a side that creates chances but doesn’t always convert at the level necessary to dominate matches. At home their goal returns pale slightly (9 scored at home) and BTTS at home sits low, suggesting some matches have been low-scoring affairs on their turf.

Willem II, meanwhile, have been more consistent lately. Their last ten results show five wins, three draws and just two losses, and their cup rout, with Nick Doodeman earning the match’s best rating, adds a psychological edge. Although they’ve scored fewer overall (17 goals in the league), their attacking profile is efficient enough — fewer total shots than Jong PSV but a decent share on target and slightly higher dangerous-attacks average. Their away goal numbers (10 scored, 15 conceded) hint at risk-taking on the road, which can open fixtures up.

Both teams feature a decent propensity for goals: Jong PSV’s over 2.5 rate is high at about 69%, and Willem II’s sits above 61%, indicating this is a tie where the goal market is worth attention. The head-to-head last season ended 1-1, so parity is not new between these sides.

How to approach betting this one

When choosing markets, context matters — recent heavy scoring from Willem II and Jong PSV’s season-long tendency toward open games tilt this match toward goals rather than a straight match-winner play. If you’re refining your approach to which markets to target, consider reading up on broader strategies such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and the timing nuances for goal-focused bets like The right time to place bets on goal markets to sharpen your edge.

Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals — the statistical profile and recent results favor an open game with goals.