Prediction Kenya vs Seychelles 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025

Preview: Kenya eager to close the gap at Ruaraka Stadium

Kenya arrive at Ruaraka Stadium on September 9 bristling with momentum and all the pressures of a side still chasing consistency in this 2026 World Cup qualifying group. Playing at home in Nairobi — a compact venue with a capacity of 1,000 — the hosts will know that the crowd can be an expectant, close-up presence as they try to convert recent mixed results into the kind of dominant performance their supporters want. The recent sequence paints a picture of a team that can score and is by no means fragile: five wins, three draws and two defeats in the most recent string of results underline a squad capable of producing decisive moments. Kenya’s last outing, a 1-3 loss to Gambia on September 5, featured Job Ochieng as a standout performer despite the final scoreline, evidence that individual quality can still shine through.

Seychelles, in contrast, arrive as heavy outsiders, their campaign so far a torrid run of seven defeats in seven group matches. Defensive frailties are stark on paper: 34 goals conceded and just two scored across the group stage, and a recent 0-4 reverse to Gabon further underlines the gulf between the sides. The islands’ only notable recent uplift in individual performance came through Lorenzo Hoareau in that match, but even that could not prevent another heavy defeat. Seychelles’ road form and their inability to keep clean sheets — none in the campaign so far — make this a daunting trip to Nairobi.

Tactical storyline and form

Kenya’s underlying numbers suggest a team that creates chances at a much higher rate than its guests. Their averages in shots and dangerous attacks are significantly higher than Seychelles’ metrics, and Kenya have shown they can find the net consistently at home and away in this cycle. Seychelles’ attack has struggled to convert and their defense has been repeatedly exposed, particularly away from home. The historical head-to-head tells its own story: a recent 5-0 win for Kenya in the qualifiers indicates a psychological edge that the hosts will be expected to exploit again.

Final call: given the mismatch in form, defensive records and attacking output, the complexion of this game points firmly one way.

Betting suggestion

Based on the data, the most sensible market is the goals market. Back Over 2.5 goals. Kenya’s ability to score and Seychelles’ porous defence — combined with both sides’ recent matches producing multiple goals — make Over 2.5 the best value pick for this fixture.