Prediction KuPS vs FC Midtjylland 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 28/08/2025

Match preview: Home grit meets continental firepower in Kuopio

The Savon Sanomat Areena will host a vital Europa League play-off second leg on 28 August 2025 as KuPS welcome FC Midtjylland under referee Simone Sozza. KuPS arrive on the back of a morale-boosting 3-1 win over Jaro on 24 August and have regained domestic rhythm with a sequence that reads mostly wins, but the shadow of the recent 4-0 reverse to the very same Midtjylland side in this tie is impossible to ignore. The Kuopio crowd will hope the compact 5,300-capacity venue becomes a cauldron that spurs the home side to overturn the deficit.

FC Midtjylland travel with form that screams consistency. They followed up the 4-0 victory over KuPS with another statement performance, beating Silkeborg 4-2 in their most recent outing. Across their recent run they’ve tasted no defeats — six wins and four draws — and their attacking numbers are imposing: a high volume of shots, regular goals both home and away, and a ruthless efficiency that has left opponents on the back foot.

Form and tactical edge

KuPS have shown resilience in domestic fixtures, a tight defensive display at home in parts, and a positive recent results sequence, but their statistics in this tie are worrying: they conceded five away goals and managed just one goal at home through the course of the encounters provided. Midtjylland, by contrast, have piled up shots and put pressure on opponents with an average of nearly 19 shots per game and consistent attacking output. Their ability to both create and finish chances is underpinned by recent standout performances — notably Darío Osorio earning a 9.39 rating in the 4-2 win over Silkeborg.

The head-to-head is frank and telling: a 4-0 victory for Midtjylland in the earlier play-off meeting with a 2-0 half-time advantage set the tone and exposed KuPS vulnerabilities against high-tempo pressing and clinical finishing. KuPS will be fired up by home fans and a recent 3-1 league victory, but the gulf in recent European form leans to the visitors.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect Midtjylland to control large periods of the match and to pose the bigger threat in and around the box. KuPS will fight and could nick moments on the counter, yet the data points to a disciplined, in-form Midtjylland side set up to close out the tie.

Betting suggestion: Back FC Midtjylland to win (1X2). The away win at odds reflecting a strong probability aligns with form, recent head-to-head and attacking statistics — this is the clearest single-market recommendation from the available data.