Prediction La Equidad vs Once Caldas 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga BetPlay on 07/10/2025

Match context and form guide

La Equidad welcome Once Caldas to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in Bogotá on 07/10/2025 in what looks set to be a defining clash in round 14 of the Liga BetPlay Clausura. The home side arrive rooted to 19th, producing only two wins from 12 matches and managing just seven goals while shipping 18. Their recent results read as a wake-up call: three heavy defeats and a string of low-scoring affairs have left confidence fragile. The latest reverse against Santa Fe, a 3-0 loss, only underlined La Equidad’s defensive frailties and inconsistent attacking output.

Once Caldas, by contrast, have rediscovered a rhythm. Sitting 11th with 16 points from 13 games, they have been far more efficient in front of goal and markedly sturdier at the back. Recent results include a 4-0 romp in the Copa Colombia and a 5-2 league win, signalling an aggressive attacking profile that has been rewarded in consecutive matches. Their formline reads strongly: seven wins, one draw and two losses in the last ten outings, and a convincing 3-0 victory over La Equidad earlier this year in the Apertura further tilts the psychological balance.

The venue, while modest in capacity, offers typical Bogotá conditions that can test teams’ rhythm, but Once Caldas look better equipped to adapt given their recent attacking output. Referee Carlos Arturo Ortega Jaimes will be in charge; discipline and set-piece management could become focal points as both teams look to exploit weaknesses in transition.

Tactical outlook and key trends

La Equidad have struggled to find the net consistently, scoring only seven and showing vulnerability in defence by conceding 18 so far. Their matches have produced a mix of low-scoring draws and heavy defeats, suggesting a team that can be overrun when opponents commit men forward. Once Caldas display a more balanced profile: 16 goals in 13 matches and capable of striking quickly, as recent multi-goal wins show. The head-to-head history this season favours the visitors emphatically, and statistical indicators such as over 2.5 goal frequency leaning higher for Once Caldas imply this is more likely to be a contest decided by the away side’s attacking edge.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, recent head-to-head and match odds, the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market backing Once Caldas to win. Bookmakers price the away victory at 2.32 with an implied probability of roughly 43.1%, and that number looks generous given Once Caldas’ attacking confidence and La Equidad’s defensive problems. A straight Away win is the recommended bet for this fixture.