Match preview: La Louvière hosts a dangerous Gent side in La Louvière
The Stade du Tivoli will stage a clash that promises contrast: La Louvière, sitting 13th and fighting for consistency, welcomes a resurgent Gent who occupy fifth spot in the Pro League. The home side arrive off a narrow 1-2 defeat to Sint-Truiden on January 24, a result that extended a patchy sequence of results for La Louvière. Their record across 22 matches—five wins, eight draws and nine defeats—has been underpinned by low scoring; just 19 goals all season and only six of those on home soil. Gent, by contrast, have found their groove in spells, most recently dismantling Standard Liège 4-0, and they bring a more potent attacking profile to La Louvière. The Belgian visitors have accumulated 36 goals through the campaign and carry momentum from emphatic wins that underline their threat on the break and in transition.
Form, trends and what the numbers say
Numbers paint a clear picture: La Louvière’s home output is restrained—six goals at home and a home BTTS percentage of only 27.27%—suggesting they often struggle to convert opportunities in front of their fans at the Tivoli. Gent’s offensive engine is healthier, reflected in 300 total shots and 102 on target across the season and a 59.09% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The visitors’ attack has produced high-scoring results lately (4-0 and 4-2), and Wilfried Kanga’s standout 9.55 rating in the last match shows individual class capable of punishing defensive lapses. La Louvière’s best recent performer, Pape Moussa Fall, earned a solid 7.83 rating in defeat, but the home team’s overall form—two wins, three draws and five losses in their last ten—indicates vulnerability against teams that press and finish chances.
The head-to-head ledger offers a nudge to Gent as well: the most recent meeting in August 2025 finished 1-0 in Gent’s favour, and that narrow win is consistent with Gent’s ability to grind out results while also producing high-scoring performances when the game opens up.
Prediction and betting tips
This has all the ingredients for an away victory. Gent combine recent confidence, superior attacking metrics and an ability to score in bunches, and the bookmakers price them as the slight favorites (2.55) against a La Louvière side that struggles for goals at home. Expect Gent to control phases of the game, probe patiently and convert chances when La Louvière is forced out of structure. The safest play in the 1X2 market is Gent to win, but for punters who prefer goals markets the data also supports a lively encounter with value in backing more than two goals given Gent’s tendency for high-scoring games this season.
For a deeper read on choosing the right markets and how to align stake with value, see Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and if you want to sharpen your sense of value around odds and probabilities consult How the betting odds work in sports betting.
Betting suggestion: Back Gent to win (Away) in the 1X2 market at odds around 2.55 — this selection combines form, shot volume and recent finishing form as the clearest edge in this fixture.
