Match context and form guide
Larissa welcome Panathinaikos to Stadio Alkazar in Larissa on 07/12/2025 with the home side deep in trouble in the Super League. Larissa’s season figures read like a warning sign: one victory, four draws and seven defeats from 12 matches, only 11 goals scored and 22 conceded, and a run of results that has them sliding towards the foot of the table. Their recent cup exit to Atromitos continued a worrying pattern of fragile defensive displays and scarce attacking returns.
Panathinaikos arrive with momentum. Sitting sixth with 18 points from 11 matches, they have won seven of their last ten in all competitions and left Kifisia in the Greek Cup with a 1-0 victory on 03/12. Their attacking numbers and overall control of games — reflected in higher averages for shots, shots on target and dangerous attacks — underline an away side capable of imposing themselves at Alkazar. The last recorded H2H in the Super League (2021) also favoured Panathinaikos, who won 2-0, a small historical footnote that adds to the visitors’ psychological edge.
Tactical tendencies and statistical nudges
By the metrics on show, Panathinaikos produce more volume and quality in forward play: superior totals for shots, shots inside the box and dangerous attacks point to a team that actively creates chances. Larissa, conversely, are struggling to turn opportunities into goals while leaking chances at home — just one clean sheet all season at the time of data. Both teams have a reasonable rate of matches with goals, but the gap in consistency between the sides is the defining factor: Panathinaikos lose infrequently and have the defensive solidity to manage matches, whereas Larissa have been outgunned repeatedly.
Match rhythm and betting psychology
Referee Angelos Evangelou will oversee the fixture at a compact Stadio Alkazar (capacity 13,108), where home pressure could be intense, but unlikely to compensate for Larissa’s run of poor form and Panathinaikos’ superior attacking output. When assembling a stake plan, consider both the on-field dynamics and sound bankroll management — keeping temperament in check matters as much as picking the right market; if you want a primer on staying disciplined while backing selections, read How to have emotional control when placing bets?. For those choosing markets, a refresher on intelligent market selection can help: Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets offers practical perspective.
Betting suggestion Panathinaikos to win (1X2). Bookmakers list the away win around 1.46, reflecting a clear probability edge. Given Larissa’s defensive woes, Panathinaikos’ recent form and the numerical advantage in chances created, the simplest play — a straight away win — combines value and manageability. Stake sensibly and treat this as a low-variance pick rather than a big-ticket punt.