Prediction Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga 2 on 12/09/2025

Match outlook: Las Palmas keen to make home advantage count

La Liga 2 returns to the Estadio de Gran Canaria on 12 September with Las Palmas hosting Real Sociedad II in a fixture that feels poised between momentum and expectation. The Canary Islanders arrive on paper as clear favorites — bookmakers place the home win at around 1.45 — but form lines tell a more nuanced story. Las Palmas sit 12th in the early table after four matches, with one victory, two draws and a defeat, and have shown attacking intent in their numbers: more total shots, comfortably higher shots on target, and a markedly superior attacks-per-game rate than their visitors. The stadium’s capacity and familiar surroundings should amplify that advantage, and recent home performances show Las Palmas are more willing to press forward and create opportunities.

What the recent form and stats say

Real Sociedad II travel north as a side that has been involved in lively games. Their most recent result, a 3-3 draw with Cádiz, underlines a team capable of scoring but also prone to conceding. Across the early season, the B side have produced goals — they have netted six already — but their defensive ledger reads six conceded too, suggesting open games where both teams can find the net. Las Palmas, meanwhile, have conceded fewer overall and generate more dangerous attacks per match, pointing to control in the final third even if recent results haven’t consistently converted that dominance into wins. Head-to-head history is sparse and cautious: the last recorded meeting ended goalless in 2022, which hints at a tactical edge that can blunt attacking flow on occasion.

There are also telling match-level indicators. Las Palmas’ average corners and shots inside the box are noticeably higher, and their shots-on-target tally shows they carve out better-quality chances. Real Sociedad II compensate with a propensity to get on the scoresheet and have produced high-scoring encounters recently; however, their away statistics indicate they have not yet been prolific on the road and have shown vulnerability in fouls and defensive discipline.

Key contextual notes

The prior fixtures give us further color: Las Palmas’ most recent outing finished 0-0 against Burgos where Sergio Barcia earned plaudits as one of the standouts, while Real Sociedad II’s 3-3 thriller featured Lander Astiazaran among the best performers. Those individual flashes reflect teams who can influence games through bright moments, but the systemic advantages — territorial control, more attempts on goal, and the comfort of home — lean toward Las Palmas.

Betting suggestion Based on the balance of the available data — strong home attacking metrics for Las Palmas, a higher probability reflected in current odds, and Real Sociedad II’s mixed defensive form on the road — the most sensible single-market selection is a 1X2 play for the home win. Back Las Palmas to win at roughly 1.45 odds, treating it as a value play given their clear superiority in possession metrics, shots and dangerous attacks inside the Estadio de Gran Canaria.