Prediction Latvia vs Serbia 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 06/09/2025

Match context and recent form

The stakes are tangible when Latvia welcome Serbia to Stadions Daugava in Liepāja on 06/09/2025 as both sides chase vital points in the Group Stage of WC Qualification Europe. Latvia arrive with mixed results across their recent outings — a 1-1 draw with Albania and a 0-0 stalemate with Azerbaijan bookend a campaign that has delivered only two wins from their last ten matches. Their group numbers show a team that can be competitive at home but remains fragile, having conceded four goals in three group matches and managed just two scored. Antonijs Černomordijs stood out in Latvia’s last outing against Albania, earning plaudits as their best performer in that draw.

Serbia, by contrast, go into this fixture with the momentum of efficiency. Undefeated in the group so far, Serbia have kept clean sheets and found the back of the net — a 3-0 win over Andorra and steady displays against Austria underline a unit that combines attacking bite with defensive resilience. Aleksandar Mitrović lit up Serbia’s recent win, earning the match’s top rating and spearheading a side that has been clinical in finishing chances while limiting opponents’ opportunities.

Tactical outlook and key statistics

The numbers paint a picture of dominance for the visitors. Serbia’s attacking metrics — higher total shots, more shots inside the box, and a markedly superior dangerous attacks average — suggest they create significantly more meaningful chances than Latvia. Serbia’s defensive record in the data is notable: multiple clean sheets and zero goals conceded in group play, while Latvia have been more porous, especially away from home. Latvia’s home attack has produced chances, but the conversion and consistency haven’t been there, and their recent string of draws and narrow results indicates they may struggle to break down a compact Serbian backline.

Stadions Daugava offers a cozy atmosphere with a capacity under 6,000, which can amplify pressure for the home side, but the underlying metrics favor the more efficient and composed Serbian outfit. Bookmaker odds mirror these trends decisively, signaling a strong confidence in an away victory.

Prediction and betting suggestion

All signals from form, team statistics and market sentiment point toward a Serbia victory. The bookmakers have Serbia as clear favorites, and their defensive solidity coupled with superior chance creation makes an away win the logical selection for this clash.

Betting suggestion: Back Serbia to win (Away, 1x2). The market shows strong probability in Serbia’s favor, and the available data supports taking the away side as the clean, value-backed play.