Prediction Lechia Gdańsk vs Radomiak Radom 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 03/11/2025

Match context and recent currents

The Ekstraklasa comes alive in Gdańsk on 03/11/2025 as Lechia Gdańsk host Radomiak Radom at Stadion Energa Gdańsk. The neutral details point to a pulsating midweek encounter: referee Marcin Szczerbowicz will take charge, the venue holds a crowd nearing 42,000 and both teams arrive with contrasting rhythms. Lechia sit 16th with ten points from 13 matches and have shown flashes — a cup win at Puszcza Niepołomice after extra-time underlines their resilience — but defensive fragility is evident in 29 goals conceded. Radomiak are 12th with 16 points and bring a more varied set of results, most recently drawing 1-1 at home against Wisła Płock where Rafal Wolski emerged as their best-rated performer.

Form, numbers and what they tell us

Statistically the game whispers “goals”. Both sides have featured frequently in high-scoring affairs: over 2.5 goals has occurred in nine of the recent fixtures recorded for each side (69.23%). Radomiak produce more shots on average and overall (191 total shots, 14.69 per match) than Lechia (161, 12.38), while Lechia’s home goal numbers are modest but their defense has been porous — they have conceded heavily away and at home. Head-to-head memory adds spice: when these teams met in March, Radomiak prevailed 2-1, proving they can take the game to Lechia and find the net in Gdańsk under the right conditions.

Tactically expect an open affair. Lechia’s capacity to press and create dangerous attacks (attacksAverage 86.69, dangerousAttacksAverage 57.15) will test Radomiak’s backline, but the visitors counter with a higher shot volume and better conversion spread across the season. With Lechia desperate for points at home and Radomiak capable of striking on the break, the balance tilts toward entertainment rather than a grinding 0-0.

Prediction and betting tip

Bookmakers give Lechia the edge in the 1X2 market at 2.02, with the draw and away options priced longer (3.50 and 3.60 respectively). Those odds reflect home advantage, but the underlying statistics — high incidence of over 2.5 goals for both teams, Lechia’s defensive leaks and Radomiak’s willingness to shoot — make the goal market more attractive in terms of value. For readers interested in timing and approach to goal markets, consider this useful note on the right time to place bets on goal markets, and for bettors wanting to keep a steady head through swings, this guide on how to have emotional control when placing bets? is a solid read.

Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals. The combination of both teams’ over-2.5 frequency (around 69%), Lechia’s conceding record, and Radomiak’s shot volume supports a match where goals are likely. If preferring the 1X2 market for a safer stake, Lechia at 2.02 is the bookies’ favourite, but it offers less value than the goal line based on the stats.