Prediction Lens vs Olympique Marseille 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for Ligue 1 on 25/10/2025

Form and statistical clash at Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens welcome Olympique Marseille to Lens on 25 October with a fixture that promises attacking fireworks. Lens sit fourth with 16 points from eight matches and have built momentum through a string of wins, defeating Paris most recently 2-1 and recording emphatic home victories such as a 3-0 success over LOSC Lille. Their season ledger shows five wins, one draw and two defeats, with 12 goals scored and seven conceded. At home, Lens average healthy attacking numbers — more than 13 shots per match and over six corners — and have been involved in matches that go past 2.5 goals in 62.5% of outings.

Marseille arrive as Ligue 1 leaders on 18 points from eight games, an intimidating side in full flow domestically. Their form line reads largely wins, including dominant scorelines like 6-2 at home to Le Havre and 3-0 away at Metz, and a recent Champions League reversal against Sporting CP on 22 October in which they lost 2-1. Statistically Marseille outgun the opposition: 119 total shots on the season with 49 on target and a staggering 21 goals scored overall. Their attacking averages show far more intent — nearly 110 attacks per match and an average of 55 dangerous attacks — numbers that suggest Marseille are superior in chance creation.

Head-to-head and recent context

The last league meeting on 8 March saw Marseille lose 0-1 at home to Lens, a reminder that last season’s results don’t guarantee repeat outcomes. Still, the current season context favors Marseille: they sit top of the table, have been more prolific in front of goal and carry more finishing threat into this fixture. Lens have defensive solidity at home, conceding three at home so far, but Marseille’s firepower — reflected in both raw goals and shots on target — is the standout statistic between the two sides.

Prediction and Betting Tip

Looking purely at the data, Marseille present the stronger betting case. Bookmakers price the away win at 2.35 with a stated probability of 42.55%, and that aligns with Marseille’s superior attacking metrics and top-table form. Lens will make it uncomfortable at Bollaert-Delelis and have the home advantage and recent victories on their sheet, but Marseille’s capacity to create and convert chances, plus their goal-heavy domestic displays, tilt the balance.

Suggested Bet

Back Olympique Marseille to win (1X2 market) at the quoted price of 2.35. The combination of Marseille’s attacking dominance, league-leading position and the bookmaker probability makes the away victory the clearest value play from the available markets.