Prediction Liberia vs Namibia 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025

Tight tussle on paper as Namibia bring form and defensive grit

This Group Stage showdown in the 2026 CAF World Cup Qualifiers shapes up as a compact, cagey affair. Liberia arrive sitting third in the group with 11 points from eight games, while Namibia occupy second with 15 — a slender but meaningful advantage. The numbers point to two very different stories: Liberia have been inconsistent, trading moments of promise with heavy setbacks, while Namibia have shown defensive discipline and an ability to grind out results. That contrast should define the rhythm of the contest on October 9.

Form, recent meetings and momentum

Liberia’s recent slate includes a spirited 2-2 draw with Malawi and a tough 3-0 defeat to Tunisia; their overall group record shows nine goals scored and nine conceded. Their latest form reads as a mixed bag with just two wins in the most recent string of fixtures and only two clean sheets from eight group matches. Namibia, by contrast, have conceded only four times in eight matches and boast five clean sheets — an eye-catching defensive return for this stage of qualifying. Their most recent result, a 3-0 win over São Tomé and Príncipe, came with striker Peter Shalulile earning match acclaim and a 7.39 rating in that fixture. The pair drew 1-1 when these teams met in June 2024, a result that underlines how evenly poised this pairing can be.

On attacking metrics, both sides create chances, but Namibia’s underlying numbers edge them ahead. Namibia have recorded 29 shots on target from 59 total shots and average more corners and dangerous attacks than Liberia. Liberia can threaten — they’ve accumulated 63 total shots across the campaign — but consistency in finishing and defensive solidity have been issues at times.

The bookmakers mirror this tightness. Namibia are marginal favourites at 2.55, Liberia sit at 2.80 and the draw is available at 3.10. Those prices reflect a match that could swing on a single set-piece, a rare lapse, or the finishing touch from either side.

Prediction and reading the clues

Expect a cautious start with Namibia happy to absorb pressure and look for decisive moments on the break or from set plays. Liberia will need to be clinical to make a home advantage count, but their defensive record suggests Namibia will keep this contained. Given Namibia’s run of clean sheets and both teams’ tendency toward compact scorelines in recent fixtures, the most likely outcome is a low-to-medium scoring draw or a narrow Namibia win.

Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals. With Namibia’s five clean sheets and a history of tight encounters between these sides, the data points to a match that will be decided by a solitary moment rather than an open goal-fest.