Prediction Libertad vs Guaraní 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Division 1 on 25/08/2025

Match preview: tight domestic blockbuster in Asunción

The fixture at Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz promises heat and drama as Libertad host Guaraní on 25/08/2025 in Round 9 of the Clausura. The local crowd will pack a ten-thousand capacity venue to see two familiar rivals: Libertad arrive off a run peppered with draws and a solid defensive backbone, while Guaraní roll in with attacking verve and momentum. Bookmakers have installed Libertad as a slender favorite with odds around 1.95, but the underlying numbers suggest this will be anything but straightforward. Guaraní sit second in the table with five wins from eight matches and an impressively aggressive goals return. Libertad’s league position is lower, but their form includes resilient results and a recent Copa Libertadores outing that ended level on the night only to be decided on penalties — a sign of a squad that does not yield easily.

Form, recent meetings and tactical feel

Recent head-to-head history adds spice: the pair met earlier in the year with Guaraní claiming a 3-1 win away at Libertad, a result that underlines their ability to unlock the hosts on the road. Libertad’s last competitive fixture was a high-stakes Libertadores Round of 16 clash that finished 1-1 on the night before penalties, where Robert Rojas earned plaudits for his performance. Guaraní’s latest domestic test was a 3-4 heartbreaker against Cerro Porteño, a game that showcased both their attacking potency and defensive vulnerability — Ivan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira stood out on the ratings sheet despite the loss. Statistically, Guaraní carry the punchier attack across the campaign, and their matches have yielded a healthy rate of high-scoring affairs. Libertad, meanwhile, have shown defensive discipline but have also been involved in a string of score draws, signalling both resolve and an occasional lack of cutting edge.

The shot statistics and goal data paint a picture of contrasts: Guaraní’s fixtures have trended toward more goals and a greater frequency of both teams finding the net, whereas Libertad’s results suggest tight contests with an underlying capacity to score when the moment demands. Expect a lively affair with chances at both ends — Guaraní will try to impose tempo and stretch the hosts, while Libertad will look to control spaces and punish turnovers.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the head-to-head history, recent scorelines, and clear attacking numbers for Guaraní against a Libertad side that has seen multiple matches with both teams scoring, the most sensible market to target here is the goal market. Backing both teams to score looks the most attractive and data-driven option: the opponents’ meeting earlier this season produced multiple goals, Guaraní’s games have been goal-heavy, and Libertad have shown they can find the net even in tight contests. Betting suggestion: Goal market — Both teams to score (Yes).