Prediction Lisse vs Telstar 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the KNVB Beker on 29/10/2025

Match preview: Lisse hosts Telstar in a classic cup underdog test

The KNVB Beker Round 1 clash at Sportpark Ter Specke on 29 October promises a clash of contrasting trajectories. Lisse arrive with momentum from the Derde Divisie: Group B, fresh off a 2-0 win over Meerssen and a lively run of results that reads with more wins than setbacks across their last ten outings. The home side have shown efficiency in front of goal in recent fixtures — a 4-1 away triumph only weeks ago and steady defensive displays that keep them competitive at Sportpark Ter Specke, a compact venue with a 7,000 capacity that often generates an intense atmosphere for visiting teams.

Telstar, meanwhile, come in wounded. Their string of results points to struggles at the moment: seven losses, one draw and just two wins in the last ten matches. Recent league outings against top-tier opposition have been harsh — a narrow 1-0 defeat at Sparta Rotterdam serves as the latest reminder that Telstar are having trouble finding consistency. Their recent 4-2 win against Go Ahead Eagles is a notable outlier, but the broader sample suggests a side that is vulnerable, particularly away from home.

Form and key indicators

Looking at the available metrics, Lisse’s recent form profile is encouraging. Their latest sequence shows five wins, two draws and three losses across ten matches, with recent home attacking numbers showing an average of 14 total shots and a respectable five shots on target in the compiled snapshot. Goals-for and goals-against at home in the dataset show Lisse scoring four while conceding just one, hinting at a balanced approach that can punish a shaky visiting side. Telstar’s statistical picture is less complete in the dataset, but the results trend — including losses to AZ, SC Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam — paints a team under pressure against higher-level opponents.

H2H history adds an intriguing footnote: a 2023 friendly finished 1-6 in favour of Telstar, reminding us that cup ties can flip on the day. Yet cup competitions are often decided by who brings form, focus and home advantage on matchday. With referee Rick Sturm appointed and the tie scheduled for a midweek kick-off at 19:00, conditions favour the more settled and confident home outfit.

Outlook and match narrative

Expect Lisse to approach this tie with attacking intent but pragmatic control. Telstar may attempt to use moments of pace and transition, but their inconsistent recent form suggests they will struggle to sustain pressure for long periods. The atmosphere at Ter Specke, combined with Lisse’s recent success, sets the stage for the home side to dictate rhythm. For readers wanting to sharpen their market choices and strategy, the piece on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is a useful primer, while timing on goal bets can be explored further in The right time to place bets on goal markets.

Betting suggestion: Back Lisse to win (1X2). Given home form, recent results and Telstar’s inconsistent run, the most sensible single-market pick from the available data is a straight home victory.