Prediction Lithuania vs Netherlands 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 07/09/2025

A contrast in trajectories as qualifiers roll on

Lithuania welcome the Netherlands to S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas on 07/09/2025 in a Group Stage clash that pits a team scraping for momentum against a group leader playing with real attacking authority. The venue, with a capacity of 15,315, will host a match where the home side carries a run of draws and narrow margins while the visitors arrive buoyed by heavy-scoring displays and a top spot in the group. Lithuania sit 4th in the pool with four matches played, zero wins, three draws and one loss, gathering three points after scoring three and conceding four. By contrast, the Netherlands top the group with three wins and a draw from three outings recorded here, an eye-catching goal difference of +10, having scored 11 and conceded just one.

Form, recent meetings and momentum

Lithuania’s recent run reads like a side finding it hard to turn parity into victory: three draws and a handful of narrow defeats. Their previous match ended in a 1-1 draw against Malta on 04/09/2025, where Gvidas Gineitis was highlighted as the best performer. That result continued a domestic trend of tight encounters — Lithuania’s group record shows more stalemates than triumphs, and their form summary indicates zero wins, three draws and seven losses over the latest sample when broader form is considered. Their attacking output across home fixtures has been modest, with three goals at home and an average of just over 10 total shots in recent matches.

The Netherlands travel with swagger. Recent results include an authoritative 8-0 win versus Malta and a 2-0 victory over Finland in June, and their latest outing was a 1-1 draw with Poland where Denzel Dumfries earned top billing. Team metrics underline the gulf: the Dutch average 19.33 shots per game, with 20 shots on target across matches and an aggressive attacking profile — attacks average 132.67 and dangerous attacks average 71.67. They’ve kept two clean sheets in their away/home mix and conceded only once in group play.

Tactically this looks like a meeting between Lithuanian resilience and Dutch offensive fluency. Home averages such as 2.25 corners and a fouls average near 18 suggest Lithuania will contest set-piece and physical battles, but the Netherlands’ superior shot volume, accuracy and corner control imply they will dominate territory and chances.

Betting suggestion

Back the Netherlands in the 1X2 market (Away win). The data points — group position, goal differential, shots and dangerous attacks superiority, and recent large-margin victories — all favour a Dutch win in Vilnius. Predicted outcome: Netherlands to win, likely by a two-goal margin (e.g., 0-2).