Match context and recent form
Anfield will once again host a Premier League clash with Liverpool favoured to take three points against Brighton & Hove Albion on 13/12/2025. The fixture arrives with Liverpool carrying momentum from a tight Champions League victory over Inter (1-0), where Virgil van Dijk earned plaudits as the best player on the night. That midweek win could be the psychological edge Jurgen Klopp’s side needs at home: Liverpool’s season shows flashes of firepower but also vulnerability, reflected in an inconsistent league form that reads W-D-D-W-L-L-L-W-W-L across recent matches. Brighton, sitting slightly higher in the table in eighth, arrive in steadier nick — a 1-1 draw with West Ham followed a mixed but resilient run that includes narrow wins and narrow defeats. Georginio Rutter’s bright showing last time out underlines Brighton’s ability to produce moments of attacking threat.
Tactical and statistical angle
Statistically the tie promises attacking intrigue. Liverpool’s home goals tally and attacking averages suggest they create plenty of opportunities at Anfield — 11 goals scored at home and an average of 106.53 attacks per game — while Brighton have shown an appetite to push forward, scoring 25 overall this season and averaging 5.33 corners per match. Over/under metrics hint at a bias toward open games: Liverpool’s matches have seen Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of home fixtures, and Brighton’s season over-2.5 rate sits at 60%. That said, both teams also concede — Liverpool have let in 24 goals overall, Brighton 21 — which makes a contest with chances at both ends a realistic expectation. In head-to-head context Brighton edged out Liverpool 3-2 when hosting earlier in the campaign, so the visitors will not be short of confidence.
Prediction and betting suggestion
Bookmakers make Liverpool the clear favourites with home odds around 1.67, implying about a 60% chance of victory. Given Liverpool’s recent European boost, the Anfield factor and Brighton’s tendency to be competitive but occasionally porous away from home, the sensible headline pick is a home victory on the 1X2 market. It’s the market that best reflects the concrete edge Liverpool possess here: the probability, recent results and attacking metrics all lean towards a Liverpool win without requiring an expectation of a goal glut.
For bettors looking to refine their approach, remember to combine solid match analysis with sound staking plans and emotional discipline — learning about strategies to keep composure can be crucial, see How to have emotional control when placing bets?. If you’re curious about when goal markets offer the best value, the piece on The right time to place bets on goal markets is a useful companion read. For those weighing market choices more broadly, consider brushing up on soccer betting tips and the choice of markets before committing.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Liverpool to win (home) at 1.67. Backing Liverpool is the preferred single-market play here, with a conservative stake recommended given the unpredictability that has crept into both sides’ recent form.