Prediction Liverpool vs Crystal Palace 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Carabao Cup on 29/10/2025

Match context and form check

Anfield will host a tasty Cup tie on 29 October as Liverpool welcome Crystal Palace in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup. The bookmakers have made their call: Liverpool are clear favourites at 1.54, with the draw trading at 4.20 and Palace a long-shot at 5.40. Those odds reflect a picture of two teams on different trajectories but with recent results that keep this tie intriguing. Liverpool arrive off a 3-2 defeat at Brentford on 25 October, a game in which Dominik Szoboszlai earned the match’s highest rating despite the result. That scoreline continued a mixed run for the hosts, whose ten-match summary reads as an even split of five wins and five losses — capable of devastating attacking displays, as seen in a 5-1 win away to Eintracht Frankfurt, but also vulnerable to slipping up in cup and league fixtures.

Crystal Palace bring a different profile: they have been stubborn and often tight, compiling three wins, five draws and only two defeats across their last ten. Palace’s most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat to Arsenal on 26 October, and they have shown the capacity to frustrate bigger teams — notably they beat Liverpool 2-1 at Selhurst Park in late September. That victory underlines Palace’s ability to spring surprises and makes them anything but a dead cert to be rolled over at Anfield.

Tactical snapshot and stats hinting at the script

The underlying numbers offer interesting reading. Liverpool create the more dangerous attacking intent, with an average of 109 attacks and 71 dangerous attacks per game, suggesting sustained pressure in and around the box. Palace, however, register a higher raw volume of activity in some metrics — 115 attacks on average and an impressive corners average of eight to Liverpool’s three — indicating they can force set-piece scenarios and moments of sustained pressure themselves. In terms of shots, Palace’s figures show 17 total shots with six on target on average, while Liverpool average ten shots with four on target. These indicators suggest a match that could see decent attacking returns from both sides, but Liverpool’s capacity to manufacture high-quality chances inside the box gives them the clearer cutting edge.

Both teams have recent competitive matches close to this fixture, which can influence fitness and selection, but using only the data at hand the balance tilts toward the home side. Anfield’s atmosphere and Liverpool’s tendency to fashion dangerous chances make them the natural pick on probability and market pricing.

Betting suggestion For the primary market, back Liverpool to win (Home) at the quoted 1.54. The home advantage, combined with Liverpool’s superior dangerous-attack numbers and strong bookmaker probability (about 65%), makes a Liverpool victory the most reasonable single-market play for this Carabao Cup tie.