Prediction LOSC Lille vs PAOK 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 23/10/2025

Match preview: Lille set the tone at Stade Pierre-Mauroy

LOSC Lille welcome PAOK to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on 23 October in what promises to be a pivotal Europa League group-stage clash. Lille travel through October with momentum: two wins from two in the group, three goals scored and just one conceded, and a domestic victory over Nantes by 2-0 as their most recent outing. That run of results — including an eye-catching away win at Roma earlier in the month — gives Christophe’s side a clear psychological edge heading into this fixture. The home ground, with its near-50,186 capacity, has been a reliable stage for Lille’s attacking intent and they bring encouraging attacking numbers into this encounter.

PAOK’s response: resilience but inconsistency

PAOK arrive in northern France with mixed signals. Their most recent result domestically was an authoritative 2-0 win away at AEK Athens, and their form sheet shows they can produce victories against strong opposition. Yet in the Europa League they sit on just one point from two matches, having scored once and conceded three. Across the broader sample of recent fixtures PAOK have shown both grit and vulnerability — a stretch of clean sheets and away strengths counterbalanced by games where they’ve shipped multiple goals. Their aggregated stats suggest a team capable of dangerous attacks but also prone to lapses when facing well-organised opposition.

Tactical and statistical context points to a game that Lille should control. The bookmakers reflect that view emphatically: the home win is priced at 1.56 with an implied probability above 64%, while the draw sits at 4.00 and an away victory is a long shot at 5.60. Lille’s recent home numbers show strong chance creation, while PAOK’s season-wide data includes a solid number of clean sheets but also shows more shots and attacks per game overall — suggesting they will seek to press, but may leave space behind for Lille to exploit.

Form speaks loudly for the hosts. Lille’s sequence of results includes more wins across the latest run, and their group-stage perfect record places them firmly in the driver’s seat. PAOK’s ability to spring surprises is real, but the combination of Lille’s home advantage, recent continental form, and the market respect afforded to the home side points toward a home success on Thursday night.

Betting suggestion: Back LOSC Lille to win (1) in the 1X2 market.