Prediction Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for La Liga 2 on 12/10/2025

Match context and recent form

Málaga arrive at La Rosaleda under pressure, sitting 19th after eight rounds with just eight points and a worrying run of results. The Andalusians have lost four of their last five league outings, including a heavy 3-0 reverse at Racing Santander last time out where Julen Lobete stood out for the winners. That defeat underlined Málaga’s struggles to find rhythm at both ends of the pitch: six goals scored across eight matches and ten conceded point to a side that is brittle defensively and scarce in attack. Home form has yielded only four goals and just two clean sheets, an indication that the stadium’s 30,044 capacity will not be enough by itself to turn the tide.

Deportivo’s momentum and objective profile

Deportivo La Coruña fly into Málaga on the crest of a run that has seen them remain unbeaten in the league so far this season. Top of the table with 16 points, they combine a solid defensive record—only six goals conceded overall and three clean sheets—with a potent forward output that has produced 17 goals in eight games. Their recent 1-1 draw with Almería showed resilience, and Yeremay Hernández was the match’s best performer, earning plaudits after a compact showing. Deportivo’s away attacking numbers look particularly threatening: 11 goals scored away from home suggests they do not merely sit back on the road but actively hunt for goals.

Head-to-head and key statistics that matter

The most recent meeting between these sides earlier this year finished 1-1, underlining that while Málaga can be stubborn, Deportivo possess the consistency to get results. Statistically the away side enjoys superior attacking metrics across the season—114 total shots with 43 on target compared to Málaga’s 89 shots and 28 on target—and they convert pressure into goals more effectively. Málaga’s defensive frailty is exposed by the raw numbers: four goals conceded at home and an overall negative goal difference, a worrying sign against a visiting team that averages a high shots-on-target rate.

How this game is likely to unfold

Expect Deportivo to dominate possession phases and create the clearer chances, probing Málaga’s rearguard for openings. Málaga, with limited firepower, will be forced into moments of transition where they might carve out a chance or two, but over 90 minutes the balance of form and quality leans decisively to the visitors. The bookmakers reflect that slant: Deportivo are the favourites at roughly 2.25, with the draw and home win trading longer.

Betting suggestion: Based on form, head-to-head and the season-long attacking and defensive metrics, backing Deportivo La Coruña to win (Away, 1X2 market) is the preferred pick.