Prediction Mallorca vs Celta de Vigo 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga on 23/08/2025

Match preview and form check

La Liga's early drama continues as Mallorca host Celta de Vigo at the Estadio Iberoamericano 2010 in San Fernando on 23/08/2025. Mallorca arrive smarting from a heavy opening-day reverse, beaten 3-0 by FC Barcelona, and sit bottom of the table after one match with a 0-3 goal deficit. Their recent sequence reads as a mixed but worrying pattern: across the last ten results the Balearic side mustered only two wins, two draws and six defeats. Home attacking metrics are modest — an average of four total shots and just one on target in their most recent sample — and they have yet to find the net in the new league campaign. Omar Mascarell was the standout in that Barcelona defeat, but Mallorca's collective output and goalscoring are clear concerns.

Celta de Vigo, too, suffered an opening-day setback, falling 0-2 to Getafe, yet their underlying profile looks more encouraging. Over the last ten fixtures they collected five wins and five losses, showing a capacity to win matches and produce attacking intent. Their shooting numbers are significantly stronger: an average of 11 total shots with three on target and a much higher volume of dangerous attacks and overall attacking actions. Defensive frailties are present — Celta conceded two in their opener — but they have shown they can find the net regularly in recent meetings prior to this season break. The head-to-head history also favours the visitors: a 2-1 Celta victory in La Liga earlier in April confirms that Mallorca can be breached.

Tactical angle and game flow expectations

Expect Celta to carry more of the play. Their attacks average and dangerous attacks average are markedly higher than Mallorca’s figures, suggesting the visitors will press for control and chances. Mallorca will likely rely on compact defending and counter opportunities, but their low shots and shots-on-target tallies make it hard to forecast sustained offensive pressure at home. With both sides yet to register a league goal this season and mixed defensive records, the match could offer pockets of end-to-end action but with the greater threat coming from Celta’s forwards and chance creation.

Betting suggestion

Based on the data — superior shot volume and attacking metrics for Celta, recent head-to-head success, and market odds that give the visitors the edge — the clearest play is the 1X2 market. Back Celta de Vigo to win at the quoted value of 2.55. This selection aligns with their better attacking numbers and a slightly higher implied probability from the betting market, while Mallorca’s home metrics paint a picture of a side struggling to create and finish chances. Bet responsibly and consider staking proportionally to your confidence in the away win scenario.