Prediction Manchester City vs Everton 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 18/10/2025

Match preview: Etihad stage set for another high-stakes Premier League clash

Manchester City return to the Etihad on October 18 in a fixture that looks, on paper, heavily tilted in their favour. The Citizens sit fifth with a healthy return of 13 points from seven games and have been producing eye-catching attacking numbers this season — 15 goals scored and an average of over 12 shots per game. Everton, occupying eighth place on 11 points, arrive off the back of a morale-boosting win over Crystal Palace but remain a side capable of inconsistency. The stage is familiar: Etihad’s 53,400 capacity, a heavyweight referee appointment in Tony Harrington, and the weight of recent meetings that have seen Manchester City gain the clear upper hand.

Form lines and momentum

Form tells a compelling story for the hosts. Manchester City have been slicing through opponents in recent weeks, producing four wins and two draws in their latest summary of ten competitive outings, while managing three clean sheets and maintaining a potent shot profile — 86 total shots with 32 on target. Everton’s form map is more jagged: four wins and four losses peppered through their last ten, and defensive vulnerability away from home is signalled by five goals conceded in their away ledger this season. Everton’s attack can be industrious — their recent victory at Goodison where James Tarkowski earned plaudits shows fight — but the numbers suggest they will be hard-pressed to match City’s clinical efficiency in front of goal.

Tactically, the clash promises the usual Premier League narrative: City’s relentless chance creation versus Everton’s countering and aerial resilience. Manchester City have shown they can convert pressure into results and they did the double over the Toffees not long ago, keeping Everton off the scoresheet in a 2-0 encounter in April. Everton do carry threat on the break and will believe a high-pressing, committed display could frustrate the hosts, but the weight of statistical evidence — shot volumes, goals scored, recent head-to-head — swings this fixture firmly toward the home side.

The Etihad factor cannot be overstated; Manchester City’s home scoring distribution and healthy shots-on-target count underline their ability to both create and finish chances inside their own stadium. Everton’s slightly higher average of total attacks per game suggests they will not be passive, but converting that territory into goals against a City defence that has been compact enough this season will be the decisive test.

Betting suggestion: Back Manchester City in the 1X2 market (Home win). The bookmakers’ pricing aligns with the data — short odds reflect a 71.94% implied probability — and Manchester City’s superior form, home scoring record, and recent head-to-head advantage make the home victory the clearest single-market play from the available options.