Prediction Manta vs Aucas 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Pro on 16/09/2025

Match context and recent shape

This late-September fixture at Estadio Jocay in Manta pits a struggling home side against a restless, but more cohesive Aucas. With the referee named as Byran Loayza and a 15,000 crowd capacity awaiting, the stage is set for a heated Liga Pro encounter. Manta sit down the table in 13th place after 27 rounds, a team that has found results hard to come by—five wins, ten draws and twelve defeats—and a wretched run in recent weeks that reads L-L-D-D-L-L-L-W-L-L. That solitary win in ten underlines their inability to convert possession into points, and the defensive record is concerning: 45 goals conceded across the campaign, only two clean sheets at home and an attack that, while capable of moments, has produced just 31 goals overall.

Aucas arrive in Manta with greater promise in the standings and in the numbers. Eighth in the table with 38 points from 27 matches, Aucas have balanced attacking intent and defensive stability better than their hosts. Their season numbers show a side that generates significantly more shots and create more dangerous attacks—420 total shots and an average of 91.96 attacks per match—translating into 36 goals scored. On the road they’ve managed 13 goals and eight clean sheets, suggesting they can be clinical on the counter or steady when required. Recent form is patchy—L-L-L-W-L-W-L-W-L-W—but flashes of quality remain, highlighted by a narrow defeat to Emelec in their last outing where Angelo Mina was handed the best-player rating.

Tactical outlook and head-to-head

Tactically, Manta’s tendency towards draws at home (ten this season) and their porous defence mean they are vulnerable to teams that can press efficiently and convert chances. Aucas’ attacking metrics—more shots on target and higher dangerous attacks average—should give them the edge. The teams met earlier this year in a 1-1 draw, a reminder that Manta can grind out results, but that clash also showed Aucas’ ability to take a goal and manage the remainder of the game. Bookmakers reflect that edge: the away win is listed at 2.10, with a draw at 3.30 and a Manta win at 3.40, pointing to the visitors as the more likely victors.

Final prediction and betting suggestion

Considering form, underlying numbers and market odds, Aucas represent the clearest value on the night. They possess more goal threat, have kept more clean sheets away from home and are favored by the bookmakers. Backing Aucas to win on the 1X2 market is the recommended play for this fixture. Bet suggestion: Aucas to win (Away) at 2.10.