Prediction Mauritania vs South Sudan 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025

Preview and context

Mauritania return to Nouakchott for a Group Stage clash that looks tailor-made for a home side eager to consolidate momentum. The Stade Olympique de Nouakchott will host this encounter on 09/09/2025, and the recent run of results suggests the hosts arrive in the healthier of the two states. Mauritania’s short-term results show a team capable of getting the job done: a win over Togo as recently as 05/09/2025 capped a sequence that includes multiple positive outcomes. That victory, alongside earlier wins over Burkina Faso and the Central African Republic, underlines that Mauritania have found form at the right moment even if their overall group returns — one win, two draws, four defeats — leave them sitting fourth and short on points.

South Sudan, by contrast, carry heavy baggage into Nouakchott. The visitors have struggled to convert territory into results across this qualifying campaign, with zero group wins, only three draws and a worrying goals conceded column. Recent matches include a heavy 1-4 reverse to Congo DR on 05/09/2025 and an earlier 3-0 loss in South Africa, painting a picture of a side that leaks goals and rarely secures three points away from home. Their single win and one draw in the last ten outings hardly inspire confidence.

Tactical outlook and key numbers

Statistically, these teams are not prolific. Mauritania have four goals in the group and nine conceded; South Sudan have only three scored and a troubled defensive tally of 14 conceded. Home advantage plays into Mauritania’s hands — their recent attacking averages and dangerous-attack numbers indicate they create chances, while South Sudan’s shots average and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will be under sustained pressure. The earlier head-to-head meeting ended 0-0 in November 2023, but current form points toward a different, more decisive outcome this time.

Mauritania’s recent best-player performances and a fresh confidence from recent wins give them an edge. South Sudan’s solitary bright note in the immediate past — a man-of-the-match level display noted for Valentino Yuel in their previous outing — is unlikely to swing the balance on its own when the defensive record is considered.

Betting suggestion: Based on trends, form and defensive records, back Mauritania to win in the 1X2 market.