Prediction Mauritius vs Libya 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025

Match overview

Mauritius host Libya on 13 October 2025 in what shapes up to be a pivotal Group Stage clash in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers. On paper the visitors carry the momentum; Libya sit third in the group with 15 points from nine matches, while Mauritius linger down in fifth with 5 points. The gulf in consistency is clear when you sift through recent results — Libya arrive after a dramatic 3-3 draw with Cape Verde, a game that showcased both their attacking potential and defensive fragility, while Mauritius have struggled to find wins, mustering just a single victory across the campaign and arriving off a 0-2 reversal to Cameroon.

The context matters: Mauritius have registered more draws than wins in their recent sequence, with a pattern that reads as a team hard-pressed to convert possession into decisive moments. Libya, by contrast, have alternated wins and draws with the odd defeat but display a sharper edge going forward. Their last head-to-head meeting in June 2024 ended 2-1 in Libya’s favour, underlining the visitors’ historical upper-hand in this matchup.

Key stats and form

Statistically Libya hold the advantage across several telling metrics. They have generated a higher volume of shots and shots on target overall, and their conversion rate trends better than Mauritius. Libya have recorded nine goals at home and three away across the campaign, while Mauritius have managed seven goals in total and conceded 17 — a defensive ledger that raises red flags for the home side. Clean sheets further underline the contrast: Libya have kept three, Mauritius only one.

On set-piece and territorial measures Libya look more threatening too, averaging notably more corners and dangerous attacks. Mauritius’ matches have had a tendency to be mixed in goal volume; over 2.5 goals has appeared in just over half of their games, whereas Libya’s fixtures have been less prone to high totals on the whole. Recent individual match form also offers narrative fuel: Jeremy Villeneuve was highlighted for Mauritius in their loss to Cameroon, while Ezzeddine Al Mariami emerged as Libya’s stand-out in the 3-3 draw with Cape Verde.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect an eager Libya side to press the advantage. Their superior attacking numbers, better shots-on-target return and healthier points tally suggest they will control large phases of the contest and exploit Mauritius’ defensive vulnerabilities. Mauritius, stubborn and capable of grinding out draws, will make this uncomfortable but lack the cutting edge to take the initiative consistently.

Betting suggestion: back an away win for Libya in the 1X2 market. The data points to Libya as the cleaner, more productive team with the balance to secure three points on the road.