Prediction Milan vs Bari 1908 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 17/08/2025

Match context and form lines

When Milan open their Coppa Italia campaign against Bari 1908 at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on 17/08/2025, the cards on the table point decisively toward the Rossoneri. The fixture, staged in Milano with Alberto Arena appointed as referee, pits a side coming off a mixed but high-profile summer schedule against a Bari team whose most recent competitive outings date back to May in Serie B. Milan’s preseason results read like a headline reel — a heavy 9-0 win over Perth Glory, entertaining 4-2 and 4-1 victories away from home in friendlies, tempered by defeats to Arsenal and Chelsea — and that blend of firepower and vulnerability is reflected in their ten-match form string: L-D-W-W-L-W-L-L-W-W, which shows five wins and a habit of producing goals. Bari’s recent competitive rhythm is more halting; their end-of-season string includes a 0-0 draw with Südtirol and narrow wins and losses sprinkled through May, and their ten-match summary of D-L-W-L-L-W-D-L-D-D registered just two wins. On balance, the momentum and quality of opposition Milan faced in the build-up — even in friendlies — suggests a sharper attacking edge and match preparedness for a cup tie at the Meazza.

Tactical outlook and cup dynamics

Coppa Italia fixtures at this stage often throw up rotations and surprises, but this match looks like one where Milan’s depth should tell. The home side’s preseason shows they can score freely when in rhythm, and even in defeat to Chelsea they registered a response goal and had individual performances worth noting; Davide Bartesaghi stood out in that game. Bari, carrying a compact, low-scoring profile from their Serie B run — including a goalless draw with Südtirol — will likely approach this tie cautiously, hoping to frustrate and strike on transition. Historical head-to-head data between these two is thin, with the only recorded meeting in the dataset a 1-1 draw back in 2011, but that lone scoreline does little to offset the present-day gulf suggested by form and fixture context.

Betting suggestion

For punters seeking a clear, data-backed selection, the 1X2 market offers the most straightforward value here. The bookmakers’ pricing — Milan at 1.20 with an implied probability of 83.33% — aligns with the narrative: home advantage at the Meazza, superior recent performances and higher-calibre preseason opposition all point to a Milan victory. Back Milan to win in the 1X2 market. It is the logical primary pick, with a reminder to anyone staking on cup football that cup rotations and the occasional upset are part of the fabric of the competition, so consider stake sizing accordingly.