Prediction Milan vs Pisa 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 24/10/2025

A heavyweight clash at San Siro promises routine — can Pisa cause an upset?

There is a crisp autumn edge to the air over Milano as Milan prepare to welcome Pisa to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on 24 October 2025. The setting could hardly be more contrasting: Milan sit top of Serie A, a team humming with offensive purpose and defensive solidity, while Pisa occupy the foot of the table, still searching for a first league victory. The facts paint a vivid picture. Milan have collected 16 points from seven matches and lead the standings, boasting five wins, one draw and a single loss. Their recent run, reflected in a sequence of wins and rarely stuttered performances, underlines a side in confident rhythm. The visitors have managed just three draws and four defeats in seven outings, producing only three goals while conceding ten — numbers that underline their struggles in both attack and defence.

Form, stats and the match-up

Milan’s attacking enterprise is clear from the shot metrics: 98 total shots with 32 on target and an average of 14 shots per game, producing 11 goals so far in the campaign. At home they have been particularly effective, with six goals scored at the San Siro and four clean sheets across their outings, demonstrating a blend of creativity and organisation. Pisa, by contrast, have mustered 65 total shots and only 14 on target across their matches. Their away scoring record is thin: three goals on the road while leaking eight. Defensively, Milan have conceded just four times overall, a figure that makes them a hard team to break down when the crowd is behind them.

Pisa’s recent 0-0 stalemate with Hellas Verona shows they can be stubborn, and their two clean sheets indicate a capacity to frustrate on occasion. Yet the wider trend is of a side unable to convert possession or chances into consistent results. Milan’s last win, a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, was underlined by a standout performance where Rafael Leão earned top billing — a reminder that Milan can be decisive in key moments.

Where the bookies draw the line

The market is unequivocal: home win odds at 1.28 imply a probability north of 78 percent, with the draw and away outcomes priced substantially higher. Those numbers mirror on-field realities — Milan are the dominant force in this matchup on form, goals and home comfort.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Milan to win. The combination of Milan’s home dominance, superior attacking numbers, clean sheet record and Pisa’s scant scoring make the straight home victory the clearest value play for this fixture.