Match context and form
Modern Sport FC welcome Kahraba Ismailia to Cairo International Stadium on 16 February with clear momentum and home advantage in their favour. The hosts sit 10th in the table after 15 matches, collecting 21 points from five wins and six draws — a run that underlines a side difficult to beat at home. Recent results show Modern Sport have been grinding out points: a 1-1 draw at El Gounah and a narrow 1-0 victory over Ismaily highlight a team that squeezes results even when the scoreboard is tight. Their defensive numbers at home — nine goals conceded and nine scored across the season at that venue — point to low-scoring, controlled matches in front of a large crowd at the 74,100-capacity Cairo International Stadium.
Kahraba Ismailia arrive rooted to the foot of the table in 20th, having managed just three wins in 16 games and shipping 32 goals in the process. The visitors’ recent 2-5 home loss to Zamalek exposed defensive frailties that Modern Sport will look to exploit on Monday. There are flashes of improvement — wins at Haras El Hodood and Al Ittihad earlier in the campaign — but inconsistency and a porous backline make them heavy underdogs for this trip.
Tactical clues from the stats
The numbers suggest a contest likely to favour the hosts. Modern Sport average more attacks and dangerous attacks than their opponents and boast better clean-sheet figures at home. Kahraba Ismailia’s goals conceded tally stands out; while they have shown they can find the net in spells, their inability to keep clean sheets has been costly. Both sides have produced matches with goals — Kahraba have a higher over 2.5 percentage — but the safer reading from the data is a controlled home success rather than a wild shootout. Previous match reports highlight solid performances from keepers and decisive moments: Gabaski earned plaudits for Modern Sport’s last outing, while Omar El Said was the standout performer for Kahraba in the Zamalek clash despite the heavy defeat.
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Conclusion and betting suggestion
Given the gulf in form and defensive records, the most logical play from the available markets is a home win in the 1X2 market. Bookmakers already favour Modern Sport heavily and the statistics support backing the favourite: Modern Sport FC to win looks the cleanest value pick here. Stakes should reflect the market price and personal bankroll rules, but on the evidence provided, a straight 1X2 bet on Modern Sport FC to win is the recommended single selection.
