Prediction Monaco vs Toulouse 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for Ligue 1 on 25/10/2025

Match build-up: Stade Louis II set for an entertaining clash

Monaco welcome Toulouse to the compact Stade Louis II on 25/10/2025 in what looks set to be a mouthwatering Ligue 1 encounter. The Principality club arrive with strong home numbers and a run of mixed results that have produced plenty of goals; Toulouse travel in patchy but potent form, capable of firing in big scores on their day. With referee Guillaume Paradis appointed and both sides carrying clear attacking intent across recent fixtures, neutrals should expect an open match rather than a cagey tactical stalemate.

Form and momentum: draws, flashes of dominance and late bursts

Monaco’s recent calendar shows a streak of draws — including high-profile stalemates against Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur — and a taster of defensive fragility in a 3-1 loss to Lorient. At home they have been far more productive in front of goal, totalling 13 of their 17 season strikes on home turf and yet managed no clean sheets so far, which hints at both attacking quality and defensive vulnerability. Toulouse have oscillated between strong attacking showings and defensive lapses: a thumping 4-0 win over Metz and a notable 2-1 victory at Lyon demonstrate they can break teams down, while losses to Auxerre and Lille underline inconsistency. Their three clean sheets indicate they can also be disciplined, but their goals conceded tally keeps the door open for the opposition.

Tactical expectations and what the numbers say

Statistically this fixture leans toward action. Monaco’s over 2.5 rate sits high at 75%, and Toulouse’s sits over 60%, with both sides producing double-digit totals in shots and strong numbers inside the box. The last meeting between these sides ended 1-1, showing an equilibrium of attack and containment, yet recent domestic and European matches suggest more fireworks this time around. Monaco’s home attacking averages and Toulouse’s capacity to score in bursts make a contest of three or more goals a realistic outcome.

Betting suggestion: Best bet — Goal market: Over 2.5 goals. Given Monaco’s heavy home scoring, their absence of clean sheets, and Toulouse’s ability to both score freely and force open games (illustrated by a recent 4-0 win and a 2-1 scalp at Lyon), the statistical tendencies toward matches with multiple goals point to Over 2.5 as the most attractive play from the available markets.