Prediction Montpellier vs Amiens SC 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 29/08/2025

Form guide and recent meetings

Two sides locked on four points after three rounds meet at Stade de la Mosson on 29 August, and the narrative for this early-season Ligue 2 clash is one of contrasting momentum more than pure league position. Montpellier arrive 9th in the table on paper after a mixed start — one win, one draw and one defeat — but their broader recent trend is worrying: across the last ten games the string reads L‑W‑D‑L‑L‑L‑D‑L‑L‑L, a run that speaks to a side struggling to find consistency. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 reverse at Troyes on 23 August, where defender Julien Laporte stood out as the best-rated performer in a tight contest.

Amiens SC, seventh in the early standings, bring a livelier headline. Their last three domestic results show two wins and a draw earlier in the month followed by a narrow 0-1 loss to Annecy on 22 August, with Antoine Leautey their man of the match-level performer in that fixture. Across their last ten outings Amiens have been more productive and less one-dimensional — a record of four wins, two draws and four defeats — suggesting a side capable of hotter spells and sharper attacking sequences than Montpellier have managed lately.

Key stats to watch

Numbers underline the eye test. Amiens create more shots and test goalkeepers more frequently: 31 total shots with 11 on target compared to Montpellier’s 26 shots and just five on target. Inside-the-box attempts also favour the travellers, 23 to 15, while Amiens’ matches have produced over 2.5 goals more often (66.67% of listed matches) than Montpellier’s (33.33%). Both teams, however, have failed to post a clean sheet in the sample and both show a 50% “both teams to score” rate — an indicator that chances will be there for both sides, even if finishing has been inconsistent.

Head-to-head context gives Amiens a psychological edge too: the last recorded meeting in the Coupe de France ended 2-1 in Amiens’ favour, and that result feeds into the notion that they match up well against Montpellier.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the trends — superior shot volume and accuracy from Amiens, a steadier recent form profile, and a favourable recent head-to-head — the sensible lean is toward an away win in a game likely to be edged on organisation and attacking intent from the visitors. Expect a competitive fixture with chances at both ends, but Amiens look the likelier side to claim all three points.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Amiens SC to win.