Prediction Monza vs Frosinone 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Coppa Italia on 17/08/2025

The stage is set at U-Power Stadium

Monza welcome Frosinone to the U-Power Stadium in what promises to be a competitive preliminary round tie in the Coppa Italia on August 17, 2025. With Daniele Perenzoni appointed to the whistle and a modest crowd capacity of 18,568 available in Monza, this fixture carries the feel of a gritty domestic cup clash: one team looking to rediscover form, the other eager to carry momentum from a strong run of results.

Form lines and recent meetings

Monza arrive with alarm bells ringing in their competitive record: one win, one draw and eight losses in their last ten results. Their most recent outing was an entertaining 2-2 friendly with Inter on August 12, where Gianluca Caprari was singled out as the best performer—an encouraging sign in a warm-up but hardly a full competitive vindication. Looking back at the tail end of the season, Monza’s domestic results included heavy defeats as well as narrow wins, underlining inconsistency.

Frosinone, by contrast, bring a steadier note into this cup tie. Their recent run shows four wins, four draws and just two defeats across ten matches, and a notable competitive victory came away at Sassuolo (0-1) in mid-May. Emil Bohinen earned plaudits in that clash and Frosinone closed the season with a string of positive results that suggests a side comfortable on the road and capable of muting more fancied opponents.

The most recent head-to-head adds further intrigue: Frosinone edged Monza 1-0 in Serie A on May 19, 2024. That result offers a psychological edge to the visitors and a reminder that this matchup has produced tight, decisive outcomes rather than open-score shootouts.

Tactical expectations and keys to the tie

This cup tie will likely hinge on who can impose structure early. Monza’s home advantage and their recent ability to score in friendlies could give them confidence, but their patchy competitive form and some heavy defeats late in the prior season expose defensive vulnerabilities. Frosinone’s resilience, demonstrated by clean results and the ability to grind out close wins, points to a team that can frustrate and strike on the break or from set-piece moments. Given those dynamics, expect a tense contest where concentration and game management will trump wild attacking gambits.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Back Frosinone to win. Despite Monza being the bookmakers’ slight favorite at 1.95, the underlying form and recent competitive head-to-head favour Frosinone. The away win at 4.20 offers value considering Frosinone’s stronger recent competitive sequence and their previous 1-0 success over Monza.