Preview: Morocco’s dominance set to face Congo’s struggle
Morocco arrive at this Group Stage showdown carrying all the momentum. Seven wins from seven in the group, 21 points and a thumping goal difference of 21 scored to just 2 conceded paint a team in ruthless form. The recent run detailed in the match reports reads like a statement: comfortable wins over Niger and Zambia, a tight triumph after penalties against Senegal, and consistent scoring in every outing. Morocco’s attacking metrics back up the eye test — a hefty total of 93 shots with 43 on target, averaging more than 13 shots per game and five clean sheets in seven home/away splits shown by the stats. Bono was the standout in the last recorded win, underscoring the balance between a sturdy defence and clinical finishing.
Congo, by contrast, head into this fixture deeply out of sync. No wins from seven group fixtures, a solitary point, and a harrowing 4 goals for versus 23 against tell a story of defensive frailty and an inability to convert pressure into results. Their recent defeat at Niger, 3-1, continued a troubling pattern; while Déo Bassinga was noted as their best performer in that match, individual flashes have not turned into team breakthroughs. Congo’s team statistics show a lean attacking output — just 34 total shots and only 14 on target across their matches — and a corners average and dangerous attacks metric that lag well behind Morocco’s.
Tactical sense and historical context
Tactically, Morocco’s volume of attacks and dangerous play offers them multiple avenues to break down a struggling opponent. Morocco’s averages — notably high shots inside the box and dangerous attacks — suggest they create sustained pressure and quality chances. Historically, the head-to-head adds a stark reminder: the last recorded meeting ended 6-0 in favour of Morocco, a result that still lingers in the psychological ledger. Congo’s formline is a patchwork of draws and defeats with scant evidence of an upwards trajectory that could unsettle the group leaders on 14 October.
Final tone — Morocco look overwhelming favorites. The combination of superior form, attacking firepower, defensive solidity and a one-sided H2H history makes this fixture likely to follow the same pattern. Confidence and consistency on Morocco’s side, and persistent struggles for Congo, set the stage for a clear result.
Betting suggestion
Best Bet (1X2): Morocco to win. Based on Morocco’s perfect group record, dominant goal difference, superior shot and attack metrics, plus Congo’s winless run and heavy defensive record, a straight-home victory is the strongest market choice.