Prediction Nasaf vs Kokand-1912 2025 – Betting Tips for the Super league on 16/10/2025

Context and form guide

Kokand’s Markaziy Stadion will host a clash that shapes up as a classic contrast of ambitions on 16 October 2025. Nasaf arrive as the runaway pace-setter of the Super league regular season, sitting top with 53 points from 24 matches and having lost only once all campaign. Their recent run reads like a side that knows how to grind results: a roller-coaster of draws and wins that still underlines consistency, including a resilient 2-2 draw at home to Bunyodkor on 4 October and earlier victories over Xorazm and Qizilqum. Nasaf’s latest outings also produced a hard-fought 2-3 defeat to Al Hilal — a reminder they can be tested — but overall their balance between a productive attack and a compact defense is obvious from the numbers.

Kokand-1912 head into this fixture separated by an ocean of form and points. Sitting 10th with 26 points, they have shown flashes — wins over OKMK and Qizilqum and a handful of draws — but inconsistency and defensive frailty have been recurring themes. Their away record raises questions: only seven goals scored on the road all season while shipping 17, and a string of mixed results that alternates wins and losses without sustained momentum.

Numbers that matter

Digging into team metrics sharpens the narrative. Nasaf dominate territorial and offensive metrics: higher shots, more shots on target and a superior conversion of pressure into goals, reflected in 46 total goals across the campaign and just seven conceded at home. Their home profile is particularly impressive — nine clean sheets and strong control of matches at Markaziy Stadion make them a formidable proposition on their turf.

Kokand’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road and modest attacking returns away from home suggest they will struggle to unlock Nasaf. Their season numbers — 20 scored and 35 conceded overall — point to porous defending that Nasaf are well placed to expose. Historical context adds weight to the home favorite case: the most recent meeting in May ended 2-0 in Nasaf’s favor.

The interplay of these trends results in two clear expectations: Nasaf should control the tempo and limit chances, while Kokand may have to take risks that could open space for the home side.

Betting suggestion

Given the gulf in form, defensive records and home advantage, the strongest market to back is the 1X2. The recommendation is a straight-home win: back Nasaf to win. This selection aligns with their dominant position in the table, the strong home defensive numbers and Kokand-1912’s struggles away from home.