Two teams on very different trajectories in Termez
Termez will host an intriguing tie on 24/11/2025 as Nasaf welcome Tractor Sazi to Markaziy Stadion in what looks set to be a clash of form and confidence. Nasaf arrive with a worrying run in both domestic and continental action: four group games played in the West section have yielded no points, six goals scored and a staggering 13 conceded. Their recent results read like a cautionary tale — successive losses and draws with little momentum — and the Markaziy Stadion’s 21,000 capacity won’t be enough to paper over defensive frailties that have been exposed repeatedly this season.
Tractor Sazi fly into Uzbekistan buoyed by the opposite mood. Undefeated in group play with two wins and two draws, they boast seven goals for and only one against, and three clean sheets to their name. Their away numbers underpin a team that defends well on the road and knows how to pick moments to strike: heavy victories earlier in the run, followed by a steady mix of wins and draws, create a profile of a side confident and compact away from home. The last recorded meeting between these clubs in this competition finished 2-1 to Tractor Sazi, an echo from the past that adds weight to their current edge.
Tactical snapshot and what the numbers say
The statistics paint a clear narrative: Nasaf have been porous, conceding heavily and failing to register wins in the group, while Tractor Sazi’s defensive discipline has delivered three clean sheets and a low goals-against tally. Nasaf’s attacking flashes are suggested by six goals scored overall, but their defensive lapses — particularly at home, where they have shipped the bulk of their goals — make them vulnerable to a patient, efficient opponent. Bookmakers reflect that gap: Tractor Sazi are the favourites at around 2.25, with Nasaf priced longer at 2.94 and the draw at 3.30. Those odds capture the balance between home advantage and Tractor Sazi’s superior form.
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Betting suggestion Considering the gulf in defensive solidity and current momentum, the clearest value sits in the 1X2 market. Tractor Sazi to win at approximately 2.25 is the recommended selection. Their unbeaten group record, superior goals conceded statistic and recent clean sheets give them the edge in Termez, where Nasaf’s defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be targeted.