The Pro League fixture at King Khalid Sport City Stadium in Tabuk on 18/09/2025 pits NEOM SC against Al Akhdoud in what looks set to be a contest shaped by momentum and contrasting campaigns. NEOM arrive with confidence after a 2-1 victory over Damac on 14 September and a patch of impressive results recorded in their form string: seven wins, two draws and a single loss across the last ten outings. That winning rhythm is underlined by a noteworthy performance from Alexandre Lacazette, who posted the best player rating in NEOM’s most recent win. Al Akhdoud, by contrast, have struggled to carry that consistency into the new season. They were edged 3-2 by Al Taawoun on 13 September and sit bottom of the early table with two defeats from two fixtures in this campaign.
NEOM’s underlying numbers suggest an aggressive attacking profile: 29 total shots across their matches with 10 on target and healthy averages for overall and dangerous attacks. They’ve shown the ability to create chances and sustain pressure, averaging 77.5 attacks and 32 dangerous attacks. Al Akhdoud are less prolific in possession and chance creation, averaging 45.5 attacks and 24.5 dangerous attacks, but their matches have tended to be higher scoring—their home metrics show four goals scored and eight conceded, and their games have produced over 2.5 goals in every counted outing. Both sides enter without clean-sheet security, but NEOM’s stronger shot volume and recent run give them an edge in controlling tempo and territorial play.
Bookmakers make NEOM the clear favorite with a home win priced around 1.50, reflecting a market-implied probability near 67%. The recent head-to-head history is absent, but the present indicators are compelling: NEOM’s sharper attacking output, superior recent form and the momentum from the Damac victory set them up as the more likely winners. Al Akhdoud have shown they can be involved in open, goal-filled matches at home, which tempers a prediction for a one-sided outcome; however, the balance still tips toward NEOM claiming victory in Tabuk.
Betting suggestion: Back NEOM SC to win (1X2 market). This selection aligns with the form, shot metrics and bookmaker pricing, offering a sensible value play on the home side.
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