Prediction Newcastle United vs Fulham 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 25/10/2025

Match context and recent form

Newcastle United welcome Fulham to St. James' Park on 25 October 2025 in what shapes up as a vital fixture in the early stages of the Premier League season. The Magpies arrive buoyed by a 3-0 Champions League victory over Benfica on 21 October, a result that underlined their ability to deliver on big nights and featured Harvey Barnes as the standout performer. That continental confidence comes on the back of a mixed domestic run: Newcastle have collected nine points from eight league matches and display a run that the club’s summary marks as five wins, two draws and three defeats in their most recent sequence. At home, Newcastle have found relative solidity — six goals scored and five conceded in home fixtures — and their St. James’ Park fortress, with capacity listed at 52,409, gives them a clear psychological edge.

Fulham, by contrast, are searching for consistency. Sitting a place below Newcastle in the table with eight points, their Premier League campaign has been punctuated by narrow defeats against top opponents and some heavy setbacks away from home. Recent results include a 1-0 loss to Arsenal on 18 October, a match in which goalkeeper Bernd Leno registered the top rating for Fulham despite the defeat. The away numbers ring alarm bells: Fulham have conceded nine goals on the road so far this campaign while scoring three, a gulf that suggests vulnerability when they travel to louder stadiums.

Key statistics and head-to-head

Statistically Newcastle edge this tie in both attacking volume and defensive steadiness. They average more total shots per game and have recorded five clean sheets overall, whereas Fulham have managed just one shutout this season. The sample of previous meetings adds a cautionary note for Newcastle — Fulham recorded a 2-1 win when these sides met earlier in the campaign — but current form, recent European success and home advantage tilt the scales. Both teams have produced only three over-2.5 games apiece so far, indicating this could be a contest of careful margins rather than a goal-fest.

Prediction and Betting Tip

Given the balance of form, the recent morale-boosting European display from Newcastle and the clear defensive issues Fulham have shown away from home, the most logical selection in the 1X2 market is a home victory for Newcastle United. Bookmakers reflect that sentiment with Newcastle priced at 1.63 and an implied probability around 61%. This match carries enough incentive for the visitors to cause problems, but the data — home form, recent performances and clean sheet record — all point toward a Magpies win.

Betting suggestion: Back Newcastle United to win (1X2) at 1.63.