Prediction Newell's Old Boys vs Belgrano 2025 – Betting Tips for the Copa Argentina on 17/09/2025

Match context and setting

This Copa Argentina quarter-final in Rosario has all the ingredients of a tight, nervy knockout tie. Newell's Old Boys host Belgrano at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa on 17/09/2025, with Leandro Rey Hilfer named as referee. The venue's roughly 38,095 capacity and the city atmosphere will favour Newell's at home, but on paper this is far from a one-sided affair: the betting markets paint a three-way outcome as almost evenly balanced, and both clubs arrive with recent results that suggest momentum can swing either way.

Recent form and recent meetings

Newell's arrive after a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Atlético Tucumán on 13 September, a result that saw V. Cuesta receive the match's highest rating. That win comes after a mixed run of league results for Newell's, where spells of solidity have been interspersed with dropped points. Belgrano, meanwhile, come off a goalless draw with San Martín San Juan and have also shown inconsistency, producing both shutouts and heavier defeats in recent weeks. Their most recent five fixtures include low-scoring affairs and a surprise 3-0 reverse away to Central Córdoba SdE, a result that underlines how fragile they can be under pressure.

Historical context offers little in the way of goal-fest expectation: the most recent head-to-head meeting earlier this year ended 0-0, underlining a tendency for tight encounters between these two outfits. Statistically, Newell's show a respectable average of shots and attacking intent at home, while Belgrano's away numbers are less prolific but their home scoring numbers — visible in the season split — indicate they can be clinical when chances arrive.

Tactical outlook and key factors

Expect cautious, structured setups from both managers. Newell's have boasted a solid defensive return in several fixtures with clean sheets to their name, and their attacking numbers suggest they create opportunities but aren’t always prolific. Belgrano have shown the capacity to frustrate opponents, demonstrated by recent goalless draws, yet their away form in isolated matches can be unpredictable. Set-piece moments, game management in the middle third, and the referee’s control will be decisive in a knockout match where neither side can afford to throw caution completely to the wind.

Prediction and betting suggestion

This quarter-final looks destined to be tight, with neither side clearly superior on the evidence available. The market reflects that uncertainty: the draw is offered at roughly 2.75 and carries the highest implied probability among outcomes. Given the recent 0-0 head-to-head, Newell's recent clean-sheet form features, and Belgrano's ability to grind out a goalless result, the most sensible single-market play is the 1X2 draw. It blends value and realism for a cup clash likely to hinge on fine margins and tactical caution.

Betting suggestion: Back the Draw (1X2) at approximately 2.75.