Prediction Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Town 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the EFL Trophy on 11/11/2025

Match preview: Sixfields set for a Southern Group showdown

Northampton Town welcome Shrewsbury Town to Sixfields Stadium on 11/11/2025 in what promises to be a lively EFL Trophy Southern Group clash. The fixture arrives with Northampton sat proudly at the top of the group after two perfect results, four goals scored and none conceded, while Shrewsbury sit third with a more mixed set of results and defensive vulnerabilities that have shown up across recent matches. With Wayne Cartmel appointed as referee and the home crowd capable of packing a tight 7,798-capacity venue, the atmosphere should bolster a Northampton side that has been clinical in the competition so far.

Form, facts and the story so far

Northampton arrive off the back of a morale-boosting 2-1 league win over Mansfield on 08/11/2025, a match where Jack Perkins earned plaudits as the standout performer. That result continued a cluster of mixed league form but underlines Northampton’s resilience; in group action they’ve converted opportunities and kept clean sheets, boasting two clean sheets in EFL Trophy outings and a combined goals-scored tally that reflects an attacking intent. Shrewsbury, by contrast, were beaten 3-1 by Crewe on the same weekend, a result that highlighted defensive frailties after an encouraging earlier run in cup and league fixtures. Historic context leans with Northampton as well — the sides met in League One in April 2025 with Northampton running out 4-1 winners, a scoreline that will be fresh in the memory of the home supporters.

Bookmakers have clearly taken a read of form and history: the market prices Northampton at about 1.82 to win, a probability hovering around 55%, with a draw at 3.40 and an away win priced near 4.00. Those numbers mirror what we’ve seen on the pitch — a home side that creates plenty of chances (home total shots figures point to an aggressive approach) and an away team that can produce goals but also concedes at crucial moments. Shrewsbury’s attacking metrics show promise, yet their defensive record in the group and the recent league loss to Crewe raise questions about their ability to contain Northampton on the road.

Tactical edge and what to expect

Expect Northampton to press and look to dictate tempo at Sixfields, leveraging dangerous attacks and a favorable corners average to unsettle a Shrewsbury defence that has given up clear chances. Shrewsbury will not be without threat; they have shown they can score, and their matches recently have often produced goals, but the balance between attack and stability looks tilted in Northampton’s favour for this tie. The referee’s influence could be significant in a derby-like fixture, but on paper the home side holds the tactical and psychological edge.

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Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Northampton Town to win. Backing the home side at ~1.82 is the most coherent play given the club’s perfect group record, recent head-to-head dominance, home attacking numbers and Shrewsbury’s away vulnerabilities. Confidence level: medium. Keep stake sensible and consider cash-out/hedge options if the match becomes tight early on.