Prediction Norway vs Estonia 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 13/11/2025

Norway’s onslaught ready for Ullevaal — Estonia must weather the storm

Norway returns to Ullevaal Stadion on 13/11/2025 buoyed by a runaway qualifying campaign that reads like a statement of intent. Sitting top of Group with a perfect slate — six wins from six, 29 goals scored and only three conceded — the hosts have torn through opposition with an attacking verve that has become their hallmark this cycle. Recent results underline that form: a crushing 11-1 demolition of Moldova and a 5-0 thrashing of Israel bookend a sequence that includes a hard-fought draw in a friendly against New Zealand where Antonio Nusa stood out with the match’s best rating. The numbers from Norway’s home fixtures are emphatic: 19 goals scored at home, just one conceded, and a blistering average of over 115 attacks per game. Those are not the stats of a team content to sit back and defend.

Estonia arrive in Oslo knowing the task is monumental. Fourth in the group and with only one win from seven, their campaign has been undermined by porous defending — 17 goals conceded — and a lack of cutting edge away from home where they have netted only four. There are flashes of resistance in their results: draws against Moldova and Andorra and a narrow 1-0 loss to Norway earlier in the group show they can be stubborn. Mattias Käit’s recent performances earned him team recognition, but the broader picture is one of an outfit stretched by better opponents and outnumbered in dangerous attacking scenarios. Their averages — fewer than three shots on target per game away and a dangerous attacks metric that lags well behind Norway’s — suggest they will be pressed for long spells in Oslo.

What the market says and where value might hide

Bookmakers have priced this up as a near-certainty for Norway — the home win market sits extremely short at 1.02, reflecting a 98% implied probability. That price is unsurprising given the contrast in form and home dominance; backing Norway on the 1X2, while the logical pick, offers negligible return. Instead, the statistical profile of both teams points to a more attractive avenue: high-scoring potential. Norway’s penchant for blowing open weaker defenses has produced multiple multi-goal affairs recently, and Estonia’s defensive record suggests they are vulnerable to sustained pressure. For readers weighing markets, consider revisiting your approach to goals and match rhythm — and if you’re refining selection strategy, a refresher on broader market concepts can help, such as these Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets. For discipline and to avoid reactionary stakes after heavy defeats or wins, remember methods like How to have emotional control when placing bets? can preserve bankroll and improve long-term returns.

Betting suggestion Based strictly on the data, the most compelling single-market play is the goal market: back Over 2.5 goals. Norway’s extraordinary scoring rate at home combined with Estonia’s leaky defense makes multiple goals likely, while the 1X2 home price offers almost no value. Treat this as a stakes-light recommendation — sensible units only — because while probability favors goals, football always allows for surprises.