Match outlook: tight derby in Belgrade with the visitors favoured
The Super Liga returns with a local clash at Omladinski Stadion where OFK Beograd welcome Čukarički on 09/02/2026. On paper this is a classic middling-table showdown: OFK sit ninth with 26 points while Čukarički occupy sixth with 30. Recent form reads almost identically — both sides showing two wins, four draws and four defeats across their latest ten outings — but the underlying numbers give the away side a clear edge. Čukarički arrive with superior attacking metrics: more total shots, more shots on target and higher averages for dangerous attacks and corners. That attacking fluency is reflected in their 32 goals scored this season compared to OFK’s 27.
OFK will lean on home familiarity and a respectable record of six clean sheets this season, suggesting they are capable of stifling opponents on their own turf. Yet Čukarički’s tendency to create chances consistently — and OFK’s slightly leaky defensive ledger, conceding 30 goals — indicates this could be an open contest. The only head-to-head meeting in the current campaign also had a surprise twist: OFK won 3-1 away earlier, so Čukarički will be keen to reverse that result and reassert the form book.
Tactical clues and momentum
Both clubs have navigated a mixture of domestic and friendly fixtures in recent weeks. OFK’s latest outing was a 0-0 draw with Mladost Lučani, a match that highlighted their ability to grind out results but also their occasional lack of cutting edge in front of goal. Čukarički, meanwhile, were beaten 1-3 by Crvena Zvezda — a result that underlines their susceptibility to top-end pressure but shouldn’t overshadow their consistent output in midfield and attack against comparable opponents. The away team’s higher averages in attacks and dangerous plays suggest they’ll try to dominate transitions and test OFK’s defensive compactness early.
Given the balance of risk and reward, bettors who monitor goal rhythms will want to read up on timing and market selection; understanding when to strike on goal markets can pay dividends, particularly in fixtures where both sides have mixed defensive records. For further reading on how to approach goal-focused stakes, see The right time to place bets on goal markets. If you’re weighing alternative market types such as handicaps, it helps to grasp the underlying concepts: What does it mean the handicap market in sports betting?
Prediction and betting tip
Bookmakers open with Čukarički as favourites at 2.15 while OFK are priced at 3.00 and the draw 3.45. Considering Čukarički’s stronger attacking numbers, higher league position and the market’s lean toward the away side, the value lies with a Čukarički win in the 1X2 market. It’s a confident, data-backed pick: Čukarički to win looks the most logical selection given their superior chance creation and the probability implied by the odds. Bet responsibly and consider staking modestly, as derby quirks and OFK’s solid clean-sheet record at home mean nothing is guaranteed. Suggested bet: Čukarički to win (Away) at odds ~2.15.
