Prediction Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Copa Colombia on 10/10/2025

A heavyweight Copa Colombia quarter-final with plenty of intrigue

The quarter-final clash at Estadio Palogrande between Once Caldas and Atlético Nacional promises an electric night in Manizales. Both sides arrive in good form but on slightly different trajectories: Once Caldas have been rampant in recent weeks, piling up big wins and showing an offensive punch at home, while Atlético Nacional have been remarkably difficult to beat, grinding out results and proving tough to break down. With the tie scheduled for 10/10/2025, the backdrop is clear — a packed venue with 36,553 capacity and two teams that have momentum to take into the knockout phase.

Form, recent meetings and what it means for the tie

Once Caldas have been clinical in domestic fixtures, their recent run including a 4-0 demolition of Deportivo Pasto and a 5-2 win over Boyacá Chicó underlines an attack in confident mood. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 win at La Equidad, and club metrics show ten goals scored at home with none conceded in home fixtures listed — an impressive defensive baseline when they play at Palogrande. Atlético Nacional, meanwhile, have not lost in their last ten matches, a sequence made up largely of draws and narrow victories; the 1-1 stalemate with Boyacá Chicó was their latest result. Their unbeaten run speaks to consistency and resilience, and historically they edged this fixture earlier in the season with a 3-1 victory over Once Caldas, demonstrating they can find a way through even on the road.

Tactical patterns emerging from the stats suggest a clash between Once Caldas’ attacking ambition and Nacional’s solidity. Once Caldas generate a high volume of shots and dangerous attacks at home, while Atlético Nacional present tidy away numbers, with a knack for turning possession into results even if they do not always run up large scorelines. The recent schedule gives both teams little recovery time — Once Caldas played on October 7 and Nacional on October 6 — and that freshness factor could influence margins.

Given these dynamics, the betting market has installed Atlético Nacional as the narrow favourite, offering around 1.94 for an away win while the home victory is priced longer at 4.00 and the draw at 3.40. Those odds reflect Nacional’s unbeaten resilience and their ability to nick results away from home, but they also reward the attacking threat of Once Caldas on their own turf.

Betting suggestion

Back Atlético Nacional to win (1X2 market: Away win at 1.94). Atlético Nacional’s unbeaten run, combined with a recent head-to-head 3-1 win at Palogrande and consistent ability to avoid defeat, makes the away win the most likely single-outcome selection. The odds represent reasonable value given Nacional’s form and their capacity to grind out results even when Once Caldas press forward.