Prediction Osasuna vs Celta de Vigo 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for La Liga on 26/10/2025

Match preview: Nervy Pamplona showdown

Osasuna welcome Celta de Vigo to El Sadar on 26 October in a fixture that promises a tactical chess match more than a goal-fest. The home side arrives having collected 10 points from nine games and sitting 13th in La Liga, while Celta occupy 17th with seven points but an extraordinary run of draws in the early season. Form lines tell the story of two teams who have struggled to turn chances into consistent results — Osasuna oscillating between victories and defeats and Celta grinding out stalemates week after week.

Recent form and momentum

Osasuna’s last five results show a mixed bag: they fell narrowly to Atlético Madrid most recently, with Sergio Herrera earning plaudits in goal despite the 1-0 defeat. That defensive resilience at home is notable — Osasuna have conceded just two home goals in their campaign to date, and their home goals data suggests tighter scorelines on their turf. Celta, on the other hand, travel after a morale-boosting Europa League win over Nice where Iago Aspas starred; that victory came after a string of draws domestically, underlining a side difficult to beat but not yet commanding wins in La Liga. Celta’s record is characterised by seven draws in nine matches, which points to an ability to frustrate opponents and keep games close.

Tactical tendencies point toward low scoring. Both clubs have struggled to find the net regularly: Osasuna have seven goals across nine fixtures, while Celta have eight. Celta create more shots and dangerous attacks on average, yet their conversion has been modest. Osasuna’s home matches show a conservative approach with fewer matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The bookmakers reflect a tight encounter, offering 2.36 for an Osasuna win while the draw and away win sit at 3.15 — a market suggesting home advantage is meaningful but that a stalemate is a realistic outcome.

Prediction and betting recommendation

Expect a compact, tactical battle in Pamplona where defensive organisation and set-piece moments could decide the outcome. Osasuna’s home solidity and Celta’s propensity to draw indicate a slow-burning affair rather than an open shootout. With both teams averaging under a goal per game and the over-2.5 percentages unusually low, the clearest value lies with a goal market that aligns with the season-long trends.

Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals. This selection reflects Osasuna’s tight home goals-conceded record, Celta’s high-draw tendency and the overall low scoring numbers for both teams this season.